Lakers vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets For Western Conference Semifinals Game 4 – Monday, May 8, 2023

Los Angeles is a 2.5-point favorite against Golden State when LeBron James’ Lakers (43-39) and the Jordan Poole-led Warriors (44-38) square off on May 8, 2023. The game’s point total is 228.

Lakers vs. Warriors Odds

• Lakers odds to win: -136
• Warriors odds to win: +116
• Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
• Total: 228

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Game Time and Information

• When: Monday, May 8, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win Lakers vs. Warriors?

Lakers and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Lakers have a 13-14-1 record against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.

The Warriors have a 9-11 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 2.5 points or more.

These two teams average a combined 236.1 points per game, 8.1 more points than the total of 228 set for this game.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 5.7 more points per game (233.7) than this matchup’s total of 228 points.

The average total the Lakers have had in their games this season is 5.8 more points than this particular game’s point total.

Golden State’s games this year have averaged an over/under of 236.1 points, 8.1 more than the point total in this matchup.

Los Angeles is 40-39-3 against the spread this season.

The Warriors are 39-42-1 against the spread this year.

Lakers Stats & Insights

The Lakers have a +47 scoring differential, putting up 117.2 points per game (sixth in the league) and giving up 116.6 (20th in the NBA).

The 45.7 rebounds per game the Lakers average rank sixth in the league. Their opponents grab 44.9 per outing.

Los Angeles hits 10.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league) while shooting 34.6% from beyond the arc (24th in the NBA). It is making 1.7 fewer threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 12.5 per game while shooting 34.4%.

The Lakers score 111.8 points per 100 possessions (19th in the league), while allowing 111.5 points per 100 possessions (14th in the NBA).

The Lakers have scored at a lower clip at home than on the road in the 2022-23 season (117 at home versus 117.3 on the road), and have allowed fewer points in home games than in road games (113.8 opponent points per home game versus 119.4 on the road).

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors have a +148 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.8 points per game. They’re putting up 118.9 points per game, second in the league, and are giving up 117.1 per outing to rank 21st in the NBA.

The 44.6 rebounds per game Golden State accumulates rank eighth in the NBA, 1.3 more than the 43.3 its opponents grab.

The Warriors connect on 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league) at a 38.5% rate (second-best in NBA), compared to the 12.9 per game their opponents make, at a 36.4% rate.

The Warriors put up 113.5 points per 100 possessions (11th in league), while conceding 111.4 points per 100 possessions (11th in NBA).

At home, Golden State averages 119.7 points per game. On the road, it averages 118.2.

Lakers Key Players to Watch

James leads active Lakers players in scoring, tallying 28.9 points per game to go with 8.3 rebounds and 6.8 assists.

D’Angelo Russell contributes with 17.8 points, 6.2 assists and three rebounds a game, and Anthony Davis adds 25.9 points, 2.6 assists and 12.5 rebounds per outing.

Malik Beasley makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Lakers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.9 per contest.

Jarred Vanderbilt picks up 1.1 takeaways per game, and Davis records two rejections per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Poole pours in 20.4 points per game. He also adds 2.7 rebounds per outing and 4.5 assists per contest.

This season, Kevon Looney has a statline of seven points, 2.5 assists and 9.3 rebounds per game.

Klay Thompson averages 4.4 made threes per game.

Donte DiVincenzo’s 1.3 steals and Draymond Green’s 0.8 blocks per game are vital to the Warriors’ defensive performance.

Lakers vs. Warriors Prediction

• Pick ATS: Lakers (- 2.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (228)
  

• Prediction:
  Lakers 118 – Warriors 116

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