Suns vs. Nuggets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets For Western Conference Semifinals Game 6 – Thursday, May 11, 2023

Phoenix is only a 1.5-point favorite against Denver when the Suns (45-37) and the Nuggets (53-29) hit the court on May 11, 2023 in a game oddsmakers expect to be a hard-fought matchup. A point total of 226 is set for the matchup.

Suns vs. Nuggets Odds

• Suns odds to win: -122
• Nuggets odds to win: +102
• Spread: Suns (-1.5)
• Total: 226

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Game Time and Information

• When: Thursday, May 11, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona
• TV: ESPN

Who Will Win Suns vs. Nuggets?

Suns and Nuggets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 1.5 points or more, the Suns have a 27-19-1 record against the spread.

The Nuggets have an 11-6 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 1.5 points or more.

These teams average 229.4 points per game combined, 3.4 more than the total of 226.

Phoenix and Denver have seen its opponents average a combined 1.9 fewer points per game than the over/under of 226 set in this game.

The Suns’ average point total in outings this season is 225.2, 0.8 points below the over/under in this game.

The average total for Denver’s games this season is 2.3 more points than the point total of 226 for this outing.

Phoenix is 41-38-3 against the spread this season.

The Nuggets’ ATS record is 44-36-2 this year.

Suns Stats & Insights

The Suns’ +170 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by two points per game) is a result of scoring 113.6 points per game (17th in the NBA) while giving up 111.6 per contest (sixth in the league).

The Suns win the rebound battle by 1.3 boards on average. They record 44.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the league, while their opponents grab 42.9 per contest.

Phoenix makes 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) at a 37.4% rate (seventh-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.4 its opponents make while shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc.

The Suns rank 17th in the NBA with 112.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and seventh in the league defensively with 110.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Suns have scored at a higher clip when playing at home than on the road in the 2022-23 season (114.1 at home versus 113.2 on the road), though they have given up fewer points at home than in road games (109.2 opponent points per home game versus 113.9 on the road).

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets have a +273 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.3 points per game. They’re putting up 115.8 points per game, 12th in the league, and are allowing 112.5 per contest to rank eighth in the NBA.

Denver wins the rebound battle by 2.2 boards on average. It records 43 rebounds per game, 18th in the league, while its opponents grab 40.8.

The Nuggets make 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) at a 37.9% rate (fourth-best in NBA), compared to the 11.4 their opponents make, shooting 34.4% from deep.

The Nuggets rank second in the NBA with 116.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 19th defensively with 112.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home, Denver averages 119.4 points per game. On the road, it averages 112.2.

Suns Key Players to Watch

The active leader in points and assists for the Suns this season is Devin Booker, who scores 27.8 points and distributes 5.5 assists per game.

Torrey Craig’s averages this season are 7.4 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game.

The Suns get 2.1 three-pointers per game out of Booker.

Josh Okogie averages 0.8 steals per game, while Bismack Biyombo swats 1.4 shots per contest.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Nikola Jokic has scored 24.5 points, pulled down 11.8 rebounds and handed out 9.8 assists per game so far in 2022-23.

Michael Porter Jr. makes three treys per game.

The Nuggets’ defensive efforts get a lift from Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (1.5 steals per game) and Aaron Gordon (0.8 blocks per game).

Suns vs. Nuggets Prediction

• Pick ATS: Nuggets (+ 1.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (226)
  

• Prediction:
  Suns 114 – Nuggets 113

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