Heat vs. Knicks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets For Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 6 – Friday, May 12, 2023

Miami is a 6.5-point favorite against New York when the Bam Adebayo-led Heat (44-38) and Julius Randle’s Knicks (47-35) meet on May 12, 2023. The game features a point total of 204.5.

Heat vs. Knicks Odds

• Heat odds to win: -248
• Knicks odds to win: +203
• Spread: Heat (-6.5)
• Total: 204.5

Heat vs. Knicks Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Friday, May 12, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
• TV: ESPN

Who Will Win Heat vs. Knicks?

Heat and Knicks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Heat have a 4-12 record against the spread in games they were favored by 6.5 points or more this season.

The Knicks have a 2-2-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 6.5 points or more this year.

The Heat and the Knicks combine to average 21 more points per game than the total of 204.5 set for this matchup.

Miami and New York have seen its opponents average a combined 18.4 more points per game than the over/under of 204.5 set in this matchup.

The Heat’s average total in outings this season has been 219.3, 14.8 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.

The average total for New York’s games this year is 24.6 more points than the point total of 204.5 in this outing.

Miami has a 30-48-4 record against the spread this season.

The Knicks are 45-35-2 ATS this season.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat average 109.5 points per game (30th in the league) while allowing 109.8 per contest (second in the NBA). They have a -26 scoring differential overall.

The Heat rank 27th in the league at 40.6 rebounds per game. That’s 1.3 fewer than the 41.9 their opponents average.

Miami connects on 12 three-pointers per game (16th in the league), 1.1 fewer than its opponents (13.1). It is shooting 34.4% from deep (27th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 36.7%.

The Heat rank 25th in the league by averaging 110.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are ninth in the NBA, allowing 110.6 points per 100 possessions.

The Heat’s offense has been much better at home (111.4 PPG) compared to away games (107.5 PPG). Meanwhile, their defense has been worse in home games (110.2 PPG allowed) compared to their play on the road (109.3 PPG allowed).

Knicks Stats & Insights

The Knicks are outscoring opponents by 2.9 points per game, with a +240 scoring differential overall. They put up 116 points per game (11th in NBA) and allow 113.1 per contest (12th in league).

New York records 46.6 rebounds per game (second in league) while conceding 42 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.6 boards per game.

The Knicks knock down 12.6 three-pointers per game (11th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13. They shoot 35.4% from deep, and their opponents shoot 35.7%.

The Knicks rank sixth in the NBA with 114.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 16th defensively with 111.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home, New York scores 117.3 points per game. Away, it scores 114.8.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Adebayo accumulates 20.4 points and 9.2 rebounds per game, with 3.2 assists.

Jimmy Butler averages 22.9 points per game and adds 5.9 rebounds and 5.3 assists for the Heat.

Max Strus leads active Heat in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Butler averages 1.8 steals per game, while Adebayo swats 0.8 shots per contest.

Knicks Key Players to Watch

Randle is at the top of the Knicks scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 25.1 points per game and 10 rebounds per game to go with 4.1 assists per contest this season.

The Knicks have gotten 24 points, 6.2 assists and 3.5 rebounds out of Jalen Brunson this season.

Randle makes 2.8 treys per game.

The Knicks’ defensive effort gets a boost from Josh Hart (1.2 steals per game) and Mitchell Robinson (1.8 blocks per game).

Heat vs. Knicks Prediction

• Pick ATS: Knicks (+ 6.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (204.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Heat 112 – Knicks 111

How to Bet on Heat vs. Knicks

Get more NBA picks and predictions, the top NBA Player Prop Bets, and game previews as well as view the latest live NBA lines on Betsperts.

If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on basketball as well as find the best NBA betting sites.