Lakers vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets For Western Conference Semifinals Game 6 – Friday, May 12, 2023

Jordan Poole’s Golden State Warriors (44-38) will try to upset LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers when the Warriors play the Lakers on May 12, 2023. Los Angeles is a 3.5-point favorite against Golden State. The game has an over/under of 218.5.

Lakers vs. Warriors Odds

  • Lakers odds to win: -158
  • Warriors odds to win: +135
  • Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
  • Total: 218.5
  • Lakers vs. Warriors Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Friday, May 12, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
  • TV: ESPN
  • Who Will Win Lakers vs. Warriors?

    Lakers and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    In games they have played as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Lakers are 13-10-1 against the spread.

    The Warriors have a 7-8 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 3.5 points or more.

    The two teams average a combined 17.6 more points per game (236.1) than this matchup’s over/under of 218.5 points.

    Opponents of the two teams average a combined 15.2 more points per game, 233.7, than this matchup’s total of 218.5 points.

    The Lakers’ average point total in outings this season is 233.8, 15.3 points higher than the over/under in this game.

    Golden State’s games this season have averaged a total of 236.1 points, 17.6 more than the point total in this matchup.

    Los Angeles has a 40-39-3 record against the spread this season.

    The Warriors’ ATS record is 39-42-1 this year.

    Lakers Stats & Insights

    The Lakers score 117.2 points per game (sixth in the NBA) and give up 116.6 (20th in the league) for a +47 scoring differential overall.

    The 45.7 rebounds per game the Lakers average rank sixth in the NBA. Their opponents grab 44.9 per contest.

    Los Angeles makes 10.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league) at a 34.6% rate (24th in the NBA), compared to the 12.5 per outing its opponents make while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc.

    The Lakers rank 19th in the league by averaging 111.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 14th in the NBA, allowing 111.5 points per 100 possessions.

    During the 2022-23 season, the Lakers are scoring 0.3 fewer points per home game on average than on the road (117 at home, 117.3 on the road), and are also giving up 5.6 fewer points per home game compared to road games (113.8 at home, 119.4 on the road).

    Warriors Stats & Insights

    The Warriors put up 118.9 points per game (second in league) while allowing 117.1 per contest (21st in NBA). They have a +148 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 1.8 points per game.

    The 44.6 rebounds per game Golden State accumulates rank eighth in the NBA, 1.3 more than the 43.3 its opponents record.

    The Warriors connect on 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league) while shooting 38.5% from deep (second-best in NBA). They are making 3.7 more threes than their opponents, who drain 12.9 per game at 36.4%.

    The Warriors average 113.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (11th in league), and concede 111.4 points per 100 possessions (11th in NBA).

    Golden State is putting up more points at home (119.7 per game) than on the road (118.2).

    Lakers Key Players to Watch

    The scoring leader for the Lakers this season is James (among active players), who averages 28.9 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 6.8 assists per game.

    D’Angelo Russell contributes with 17.8 points, 6.2 assists and three rebounds per game, and Anthony Davis adds 25.9 points, 2.6 assists and 12.5 rebounds per outing.

    The Lakers get 2.9 three-pointers per game out of Malik Beasley.

    Jarred Vanderbilt averages 1.1 takeaways per game, and Davis compiles two rejections per contest.

    Warriors Key Players to Watch

    Poole pours in 20.4 points per game. He also adds 2.7 rebounds per outing and 4.5 assists per contest.

    Kevon Looney has per-game averages of seven points, 2.5 assists and 9.3 rebounds this season.

    Klay Thompson knocks down 4.4 threes per game.

    Donte DiVincenzo’s 1.3 steals and Draymond Green’s 0.8 blocks per game are key to the Warriors’ defensive production.

    Lakers vs. Warriors Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Warriors (+ 3.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (218.5)

  • Prediction:
    Lakers 118 – Warriors 115
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    How to Bet on Lakers vs. Warriors

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    written by

    Luis Escalante is a seasoned expert in NBA betting and Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. With over a decade of experience in sports analytics and a strong background in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting, Luis has become a well-respected and trusted authority in the industry. His extensive knowledge of data analysis and sports betting strategies has helped countless individuals make informed decisions and gain an edge in the competitive world of betting. Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014, Luis is committed to providing the highest quality insights and advice.

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