Celtics vs. Heat Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets For Eastern Conference Finals Game 2 – Friday, May 19, 2023

Odds are against Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (44-38), who are a 10-point underdog when they take the court against Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics (57-25) on May 19, 2023. A 215-point total is set for the matchup.

Celtics vs. Heat Odds

• Celtics odds to win: -470
• Heat odds to win: +361
• Spread: Celtics (-10)
• Total: 215

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Game Time and Information

• When: Friday, May 19, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
• Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Heat?

Celtics and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games they have played as at least 10-point favorites this season, the Celtics are 7-10-1 against the spread.

These two teams average a combined 227.4 points per game, 12.4 more points than the over/under of 215 set for this matchup.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 6.2 more points per game (221.2) than this game’s total of 215 points.

The average point total for Celtics games this season is 14.4 more points than the over/under of 215 in this matchup.

The average point total for Miami this year is 4.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Boston has gone 44-35-3 ATS this season.

The Heat have a 30-48-4 record against the spread this season.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics have a +535 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.5 points per game. They’re putting up 117.9 points per game to rank fourth in the league and are allowing 111.4 per contest to rank fourth in the NBA.

The 45.3 rebounds per game the Celtics average rank seventh in the NBA, and are 1.3 more than the 44 their opponents pull down per contest.

Boston knocks down 16 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league), 4.4 more than its opponents (11.6). It is shooting 37.6% from deep (sixth-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 34.5%.

The Celtics’ 115.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank third in the NBA, and the 108.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank third in the league.

So far in 2022-23, the Celtics’ offense has been significantly better at home, where they average 120.5 points per game, compared to road games, where they record 115.4 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they have been better when playing at home, where they surrender 110.5 points per game, versus road games, where they let opponents to score 112.4 per game.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat put up 109.5 points per game (30th in league) while allowing 109.8 per outing (second in NBA). They have a -26 scoring differential.

Miami loses the rebound battle by 1.3 boards on average. It records 40.6 rebounds per game, 27th in the league, while its opponents pull down 41.9.

The Heat knock down 1.1 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 12 (16th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.1.

The Heat rank 25th in the NBA with 110.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and ninth defensively with 110.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Miami is scoring more points at home (111.4 per game) than on the road (107.5).

Celtics Key Players to Watch

Tatum puts up 30.1 points and 8.8 rebounds per game, with 4.6 assists.

Marcus Smart contributes 11.5 points per game while adding 3.1 rebounds and 6.3 assists for the Celtics.

Tatum leads active Celtics in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 3.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Smart averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while Derrick White records 0.9 rejections per contest.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Adebayo has been among the team’s best in both scoring (20.4 points per game) and rebounding (9.2 rebounds per game) while adding 3.2 assists per contest.

The Heat have gotten 22.9 points, 5.3 assists and 5.9 rebounds out of Jimmy Butler this season.

Max Strus knocks down 2.5 threes per game.

The Heat’s defensive effort gets a lift from Butler (1.8 steals per game) and Adebayo (0.8 blocks per game).

Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 10)
• Pick OU:

  Over (215)
  

• Prediction:
  Celtics 116 – Heat 108

How to Bet on Celtics vs. Heat

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