Lakers vs. Nuggets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets For Western Conference Finals Game 4 – Monday, May 22, 2023

Nikola Jokic’s Denver Nuggets (53-29) will look to upset LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers when the Nuggets play the Lakers on May 22, 2023. Los Angeles is a 3.5-point favorite against Denver. The game features a point total of 226.5.

Lakers vs. Nuggets Odds

• Lakers odds to win: -162
• Nuggets odds to win: +137
• Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
• Total: 226.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Monday, May 22, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
• Where: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
• TV: ESPN

Who Will Win Lakers vs. Nuggets?

Lakers and Nuggets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 3.5 points or more, the Lakers have a 13-10-1 record against the spread.

The Nuggets have a 9-4 record against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this season.

Between them, these two teams average 6.5 more points per game (233) than this matchup’s over/under (226.5).

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.6 more points per game (229.1) than this game’s over/under of 226.5 points.

The average over/under the Lakers have had set in matchups this year is 7.3 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average total in Denver’s games this year is 1.8 more points than the point total of 226.5 in this outing.

So far this season, Los Angeles has put together a 40-39-3 record against the spread.

The Nuggets have a 44-36-2 record against the spread this season.

Lakers Stats & Insights

The Lakers have a +47 scoring differential, putting up 117.2 points per game (sixth in the league) and allowing 116.6 (20th in the NBA).

The Lakers record 45.7 rebounds per game (sixth in the league) compared to the 44.9 of their opponents.

Los Angeles knocks down 1.7 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 10.8 (24th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 12.5.

The Lakers score 111.8 points per 100 possessions (19th in the league), while giving up 111.5 points per 100 possessions (14th in the NBA).

The Lakers’ offense has been much worse at home (117 PPG) compared to away games (117.3 PPG). However, their defense has been much better in home games (113.8 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (119.4 PPG allowed).

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets have a +273 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.3 points per game. They’re putting up 115.8 points per game, 12th in the league, and are allowing 112.5 per outing to rank eighth in the NBA.

Denver wins the rebound battle by 2.2 boards on average. It records 43 rebounds per game, 18th in the league, while its opponents grab 40.8.

The Nuggets make 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) at a 37.9% rate (fourth-best in NBA), compared to the 11.4 their opponents make, shooting 34.4% from deep.

The Nuggets rank second in the league averaging 116.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 19th, allowing 112.9 points per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Denver is scoring 7.2 more points per game at home (119.4) than on the road (112.2).

Lakers Key Players to Watch

James leads active Lakers players in scoring, tallying 28.9 points per game to go with 8.3 rebounds and 6.8 assists.

D’Angelo Russell is averaging 17.8 points, 6.2 assists and three rebounds a game, while Anthony Davis adds 25.9 points, 2.6 assists and 12.5 rebounds per matchup.

The Lakers get 2.9 three-pointers per game out of Malik Beasley.

Jarred Vanderbilt averages 1.1 steals per game, while Davis has two blocks per contest.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic is having a strong season overall, averaging 24.5 points per game, 11.8 rebounds per game, and 9.8 assists per game.

Michael Porter Jr. averages three made threes per game.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope’s 1.5 steals and Aaron Gordon’s 0.8 blocks per game are key to the Nuggets’ defensive production.

Lakers vs. Nuggets Prediction

• Pick ATS: Nuggets (+ 3.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (226.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Nuggets 115 – Lakers 114

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