NEWSLETTER
The Boston Celtics (57-25) hit the court as 7.5-point favorites against the Miami Heat (44-38) on May 29, 2023. The matchup’s over/under is 204.
Celtics vs. Heat Odds
Celtics vs. Heat Promo Codes
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Celtics vs. Heat?
Celtics and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Celtics are 18-18-1 against the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
The Heat are 1-2 against the spread when an underdog by 7.5 points or more this year.
The Celtics and Heat average 23.4 more points between them than the over/under of 204 for this game.
Boston and Miami have seen its opponents average a combined 17.2 more points per game than the over/under of 204 set in this game.
The average total for Celtics games this year is 25.4 more points than the over/under of 204 in this game.
Miami’s games this year have averaged a total of 219.3 points, 15.3 more than the point total in this matchup.
Boston is 44-35-3 against the spread this season.
The Heat have a 30-48-4 record against the spread this season.
Celtics Stats & Insights
The Celtics have a +535 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.5 points per game. They’re putting up 117.9 points per game to rank fourth in the league and are giving up 111.4 per outing to rank fourth in the NBA.
The Celtics pull down 45.3 rebounds per game (seventh in the league) while allowing 44 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.3 boards per game.
Boston connects on 4.4 more threes per game than the opposition, 16 (second-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.6.
The Celtics rank third in the league by averaging 115.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are third in the NBA, allowing 108.8 points per 100 possessions.
The Celtics have scored at a much higher clip at home than on the road in the 2022-23 season (120.5 at home versus 115.4 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points at home than in road games (110.5 opponent points per home game versus 112.4 on the road).
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat have a -26 scoring differential, putting up 109.5 points per game (30th in league) and allowing 109.8 (second in NBA).
Miami ranks 27th in the league at 40.6 rebounds per game. That’s 1.3 fewer than the 41.9 its opponents average.
The Heat connect on 12 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc (27th in NBA). They are making 1.1 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 13.1 per game at 36.7%.
The Heat average 110.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (25th in league), and give up 110.6 points per 100 possessions (ninth in NBA).
At home, Miami averages 111.4 points per game. Away, it scores 107.5.
Celtics Key Players to Watch
Jayson Tatum averages 30.1 points, 8.8 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game.
Marcus Smart’s averages this season are 11.5 points, 3.1 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game.
The Celtics get 3.2 three-pointers per game out of Tatum.
Smart picks up 1.5 takeaways per game, and Derrick White compiles 0.9 rejections per contest.
Heat Key Players to Watch
Bam Adebayo has been among the team’s best in both scoring (20.4 points per game) and rebounding (9.2 rebounds per game) while adding 3.2 assists per contest.
Jimmy Butler’s per-game averages this season are 22.9 points, 5.3 assists and 5.9 rebounds.
Max Strus knocks down 2.5 threes per game.
The Heat’s defensive effort gets a boost from Butler (1.8 steals per game) and Adebayo (0.8 blocks per game).
Celtics vs. Heat Prediction
Over (204)
Celtics 116 – Heat 108
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