NEWSLETTER
The Denver Nuggets (53-29) hit the court as 9-point favorites against the Miami Heat (44-38) on June 1, 2023. The matchup features an over/under of 218.5.
Nuggets vs. Heat Odds
Nuggets vs. Heat Promo Codes
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Heat?
Nuggets and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season they were favored by 9 points or more, the Nuggets have a 10-12-1 record against the spread.
The Heat have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 9 points or more this season (0-1).
These teams average 225.3 points per game combined, 6.8 more than the total of 218.5.
Denver and Miami have seen its opponents average a combined 3.8 more points per game than the over/under of 218.5 set for this matchup.
The average over/under the Nuggets have had in their games this season is 9.8 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average over/under in Miami’s games this season is 0.8 more points than the point total of 218.5 in this outing.
Denver has a 44-36-2 record against the spread this season.
The Heat are 30-48-4 against the spread this year.
Nuggets Stats & Insights
The Nuggets have a +273 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.3 points per game. They’re putting up 115.8 points per game to rank 12th in the league and are allowing 112.5 per contest to rank eighth in the NBA.
The Nuggets pull down 43 rebounds per game (18th in the league) while allowing 40.8 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.2 boards per game.
Denver connects on 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.4. It shoots 37.9% from deep while its opponents hit 34.4% from long range.
The Nuggets average 116.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (second in the league), and give up 112.9 points per 100 possessions (19th in the NBA).
The Nuggets have been much better offensively at home, where they score 119.4 points per game, compared to on the road, where they put up 112.2 per game. Defensively, they are much better when playing at home, where they give up 109.6 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow their opponents to score 115.3 per game.
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat score 109.5 points per game (30th in NBA) and concede 109.8 (second in league) for a -26 scoring differential overall.
Miami records 40.6 rebounds per game (27th in league) while allowing 41.9 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.3 boards per game.
The Heat hit 12 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) at a 34.4% rate (27th in NBA), compared to the 13.1 per outing their opponents make, shooting 36.7% from beyond the arc.
The Heat rank 25th in the NBA with 110.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and ninth defensively with 110.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
Miami is scoring more points at home (111.4 per game) than on the road (107.5).
Nuggets Key Players to Watch
Nikola Jokic accumulates 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds per game, with 9.8 assists.
The Nuggets get three three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Aaron Gordon has 0.8 blocks per contest.
Heat Key Players to Watch
Bam Adebayo is at the top of the Heat scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 20.4 points per game and 9.2 rebounds per game to go with 3.2 assists per contest this season.
Jimmy Butler has per-game averages of 22.9 points, 5.3 assists and 5.9 rebounds this season.
Max Strus makes 2.5 treys per game.
The Heat’s defensive efforts get a boost from Butler (1.8 steals per game) and Adebayo (0.8 blocks per game).
Nuggets vs. Heat Prediction
Over (218.5)
Nuggets 115 – Heat 109
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