NEWSLETTER
The Denver Nuggets (53-29) are 8-point favorites as they prepare to hit the court against the Miami Heat (44-38) on June 4, 2023. The game has a point total of 216.5.
Nuggets vs. Heat Odds
Nuggets vs. Heat Promo Codes
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Heat?
Nuggets and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season they were favored by 8 points or more, the Nuggets have an 11-12-1 record against the spread.
When they have played as at least 8-point underdogs this season, the Heat are 1-1 against the spread.
The Nuggets and Heat average 8.8 more points between them than the over/under of 216.5 for this matchup.
Denver and Miami have seen its opponents average a combined 5.8 more points per game than the point total of 216.5 set in this game.
The average total for Nuggets games this year is 11.8 more points than the total of 216.5 in this game.
The average over/under for Miami’s games this year is 2.8 more points than the point total of 216.5 for this outing.
So far this season, Denver has compiled a 44-36-2 record against the spread.
The Heat’s ATS record is 30-48-4 this season.
Nuggets Stats & Insights
The Nuggets are outscoring opponents by 3.3 points per game with a +273 scoring differential overall. They put up 115.8 points per game (12th in the NBA) and allow 112.5 per contest (eighth in the league).
The Nuggets win the rebound battle by 2.2 boards on average. They record 43 rebounds per game, which ranks 18th in the league, while their opponents pull down 40.8 per contest.
Denver makes 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) at a 37.9% rate (fourth-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.4 its opponents make while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc.
The Nuggets rank second in the NBA with 116.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 19th in the league defensively with 112.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Nuggets have scored at a much higher rate when playing at home than on the road in the 2022-23 season (119.4 at home versus 112.2 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points in home games than in road games (109.6 opponent points per home game versus 115.3 on the road).
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat have a -26 scoring differential, putting up 109.5 points per game (30th in league) and conceding 109.8 (second in NBA).
Miami falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.3 boards. It collects 40.6 rebounds per game (27th in league) compared to its opponents’ 41.9.
The Heat connect on 12 three-pointers per game (16th in the league), 1.1 fewer than their opponents.
The Heat’s 110.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 25th in the NBA, and the 110.6 points they allow per 100 possessions rank ninth in the league.
Miami scores 111.4 points per game at home, and 107.5 on the road.
Nuggets Key Players to Watch
Nikola Jokic averages 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game.
Michael Porter Jr. leads active Nuggets in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of three shots per game from beyond the arc.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Aaron Gordon swats 0.8 shots per contest.
Heat Key Players to Watch
Bam Adebayo has the top Heat spot in two categories among active players: scoring (20.4 points per game) and rebounding (9.2 rebounds per game). He also has 3.2 assists per contest.
Jimmy Butler’s per-game averages this season are 22.9 points, 5.3 assists and 5.9 rebounds.
Max Strus makes 2.5 treys per game.
Butler’s 1.8 steals and Adebayo’s 0.8 blocks per game are key to the Heat’s defensive production.
Nuggets vs. Heat Prediction
Over (216.5)
Nuggets 115 – Heat 108
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