2023 March Madness First-Round Bets: Thursday 3/16

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March Madness First Round Bets

2023 March Madness First-Round Bets: Thursday 3/16


The first weekend of March Madness is always a blast. At 4for4.com we have been betting on college basketball sides, totals, and player props in our discord for months now! We have already fired off more than ten 2023 March Madness first-round bets for Thursday’s games.

You can find all of our college basketball bets at 4for4.com and get access for as low as $15! Find out how here!

2023 March Madness First-Round Bets

University of Virginia and Furman First half under 61.5 (-110 at CZRS)

The data on first-half unders in the first round of the NCAA tournament presents an intriguing edge for betting.

Over the past 10 years, first-half unders in the first round are 225-157-14 (58.9% hit rate) if you bet them blindly. If you bet them all every year, you would have been profitable in 7-of-10 seasons! I’m not one to blind-bet anything, but adding an extra edge for a bet the books haven’t adjusted for much is a good place to start.

UVA ranks 360th in pace and 25th in adjusted defense while Furman is 124th in pace. Furman’s offense looks great on paper but is yet to play against a single top-75 defense. Virginia’s defense ranks 24th, according to KenPom. This game is going to be extremely slow, which means even the slightest faltering in efficiency will have this total end up well short of the 61-point total. This is one of our favorite 2023 March Madness first-round bets so far.

If you want a bet on the side, we definitely lean towards Furman at +6 given how their offense operates with spacing and how their defense has taken a step forward in the later portion of the season. Even with Virginia’s impressive defense, 6 points is too many for a game that should be close and low-scoring.

Check out 4for4.com for the rest of our official bets. Find out how you can get access to all 12 of our March Madness first-round bets for just $15!

Author: Connor Allen

Connor Allen utilizes advanced analytics and his knowledge of football to create an edge in sports betting and fantasy leagues. He writes a weekly player prop article that's won over 57% of the time in each of the past two seasons. He placed first and 10th in the FFPC Divisional Round Playoff Contest along with fellow 4for4 writer, Joe Paeno. Connor currently resides in Chicago where he owns a small business and can be found on twitter @ConnorAllenNFL.