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Geico 500 Odds - Chase Elliott won here last Fall and looks to improve upon his first race back last week.

2023 Nascar: Geico 500 Odds for Talladega

News, Sports Betting

Dega Baby! That’s right folks. Nascar is headed to the monstrous Talladega Superspeedway for what is almost always one of the most unpredictable weekends in the sport. We’re scheduled to go green at 3:00 PM EST for the 188 laps of craziness. Let’s take a look at the opening Geico 500 Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook below.

Superspeedway racing is unlike any other racing in the sport. Saying these races are unpredictable is an understatement highlighted by recent results. Over the last 10 races at Talladega, the most top 10s in the series is six (Hamlin, Jones, Elliott). There are only five drivers to have top 10s in half of those 10 races. And the best average finish here belongs to Denny Hamlin at 12.4 over this stretch.

Last season’s races had 16 and 17 different drivers to lead a lap with nobody leading more than 38. The top 3 finishers in them all began the race outside the top 10. Both race winners started from the middle of the field (Chastain 19th, Elliott 16th); making them the 3rd and 4th straight victors to have started 10th or worse.

That streak extends further as seven of the last eight winners at Talladega started 9th or worse. And last season was the first time since 2019 that a Chevrolet (x2) took the checkered flag here and only the second/third time since 2015.

Gieco 500 Odds

When trying to handicap this race you can safely ignore and throw out everything we’ve seen since Daytona. There are certain drivers who have just have that superspeedway trait however. Including Daytona 500 winner Ricky Stenhouse Jr. who opens at +1800. Bubba Wallace (+1800), who claimed his first Cup Series win here at Dega a couple years ago. And race favorite Ryan Blaney (+1100) who has two career wins and finished runner-up to fellow two-time winner Chase Elliott (+1200) during the fall last year. Check out all the opening Geico 500 odds below.    

*Odds current at time of publication

Ryan Blaney+1100
Joey Logano+1100
Ross Chastain+1200
Chase Elliott+1200
William Byron+1400
Denny Hamlin+1400
Brad Keselowski+1500
Kyle Busch+1600
Christopher Bell+1600
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+1800
Kyle Larson+1800
Bubba Wallace+1800
Tyler Reddick+1800
Chris Buescher+2200
Austin Cindric+2200
Austin Dillon+2500
Aric Almirola+2500
Alex Bowman+2500
Daniel Suarez+2800
Martin Truex Jr.+3000
Kevin Harvick+3000
Chase Briscoe+3000
Erik Jones+3500
Austin Hill+4500
Michael McDowell+5000
A.J. Allmendinger+5000
Ty Gibbs+5500
Ryan Preece+5500
Justin Haley+5500
Corey Lajoie+6000
Zane Smith+8000
Noah Gragson+8000
Todd Gilliland+10000
Riley Herbst+10000
Harrison Burton+10000
Ty Dillon+20000
J.J. Yeley+50000
B.J. McLeod+50000

Featured Image credit: Chris Graythen/Getty Images

Author: Brian Twining

Just a regular guy who absolutely loves sports. I've been playing, watching, and recreationally betting on sports for over 30 years. My favorite sports to attack at the sportsbook are Football (NFL/NCAAF), College Basketball, and most recently - the NASCAR Cup Series. I'm not an "expert" and I don't have or use betting models, but I do put in the research and apply that to my wagers which are mostly backed by the trending data with of course a little, as Gibbs from the show NCIS would say "Gut Feeling" contributing to the side chosen. Sports betting should be fun and enjoyable so always play within your means and NEVER chase your losses. You can follow me on Twitter @Brian_Twining - Let's try and win some bets!