AFC Championship: Chiefs vs Bengals Preview and Prediction

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AFC Championship: Chiefs vs Bengals Preview and Prediction


We’re treated to a phenomenal AFC Championship game for the second consecutive postseason. The Kansas City Chiefs host the Cincinnati Bengals. Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes go head-to-head. It’s time for a Chiefs vs Bengals Preview and Prediction.

This will be the third time since last year’s AFC title game that we’ve seen these two teams square off. In all three matchups, Burrow and the Bengals have got the better of Mahomes and the Chiefs. All three games, however, were incredibly close, with the Bengals winning by 3 points in each.

Both teams come into the AFC Championship game with some injury concerns. The Bengals’ offensive line is quite banged up but held up against Buffalo last week. As for K.C., Patrick Mahomes is expected to play after suffering a high ankle sprain against Jacksonville.

This should be an awesome game.

What Time is the Chiefs vs Bengals Game?

  • Date: Sunday, January 29, 2023
  • Time: 5:30 PM CT
  • Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Who is Favored to Win the Chiefs vs Bengals Game?

  • DraftKings Betting Line: Chiefs -1.5
  • Over-Under: 48

How to Watch the Chiefs vs Bengals Game

  • TV: CBS (Jim Nantz, Tony Romo, Tracy Wolfson)
  • Streaming: Paramount+ (Jim Nantz, Tony Romo, Tracy Wolfson)
  • National Radio: Westwood One (Ian Eagle, Tony Boselli, Laura Okmin)

Key Matchups

Let’s take a look at a few key matchups to watch out for in this game. These two teams know each other very well, so there are not many new things to look out for that we haven’t seen before. Let’s dive in.

Chiefs DL vs Bengals OL

This one is obvious but needs to be mentioned. The Bengals OL was their Achilles heel last season and ultimately led to their Super Bowl loss to the Rams. This year after some additions it was much improved, but down the stretch has been decimated by injury.

The Cincinnati offensive line held up fine against Buffalo last week, but this week presents a more significant challenge. They go up against one of the best interior defensive lines in football: Chris Jones. There’s no more significant disruptor for QBs than interior defensive line pressure. Just ask the Bengals about Aaron Donald in last year’s Super Bowl.

Jones is so good in pass rush but also stopping the run. Check out below from last week’s game against the Jaguars how easily he sheds a block and makes a stop.

If Jones can be that disruptive in the middle, Kansas City has a great chance to move on to the Super Bowl

Bengals Pass Rush vs Patrick Mahomes

Patrick did a great job breaking down this matchup earlier this week. He highlighted how vital it was for the Bengals to be able to get home with just four pass rushers. I’ll emphasize that here. The Chiefs thrive on their quick passing game, mainly the Mahomes to Travis Kelce combination. In Week 13, Cincy shut that down.

By only having to commit three or four players to rush Mahomes, the Bengals can drop seven and blanket Kelce. With Mahomes’ high ankle sprain, the ability to improvise will likely be diminished. If Mahomes can’t improvise as well, Cincinnati can give the Chiefs’ offense big problems with 7 or 8 in coverage.

Chiefs vs Bengals Prediction

This Chiefs vs. Bengals pick is so hard, mainly because of the Mahomes injury. It’s tough to believe Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid will lose four straight to the same team.

That said, playoff Joe Burrow is a thing. His only playoff loss came in last year’s Super Bowl. He’s proven time and again that no environment rattles him. He truly has been Joe Cool.

No matter Sunday’s outcome, I think we’ll see these two go at it in many AFC title games to come.

Final Score: Bengals 30, Chiefs 27

Author: Matt Rooney

Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.