Lightning vs. Maple Leafs NHL Playoffs First Round Game 4: How to Watch, Odds, Picks & Predictions

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs NHL Playoffs First Round Game 4: How to Watch, Odds, Picks & Predictions

NHL Predictions

Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs First Round will see the Tampa Bay Lightning take on the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday, April 24, starting at 7:30 PM ET and brodcast on TBS, SNE, SNO, SNP, CBC, TVAS, and BSSUNX. The Maple Leafs are up 2-1 in the series. The Lightning are the favorite, with -112 odds on the moneyline, in this matchup against the Maple Leafs, who have -108 moneyline odds.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds

  • Favorite: Lightning (-112)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (-108)
  • Over/under: 6.5

When is Lightning vs. Maple Leafs and when does it start?

This game between the Lightning and Maple Leafs will happen on Monday, April 24, 2023. Expect to see the puck drop at 7:30 PM ET.

Where to Watch Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

The Lightning and Maple Leafs will take to the ice at Amalie Arena for this matchup on April 24, and if you want to catch the game live, get your tickets now from Vivid Seats!

What channel is the game on?

You can catch this game live on TBS, SNE, SNO, SNP, CBC, TVAS, and BSSUNX.

Who Will Win Lightning vs. Maple Leafs?

Lightning and Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay’s 85 matches this season have finished above this game’s total of 6.5 goals 45 times.
  • Toronto has played 42 games this season that ended with over 6.5 goals.
  • These two teams rack up 6.8 goals per match between them, 0.3 more than this game’s over/under.
  • Opponents of these two teams score 5.8 goals per game combined, 0.7 fewer than this match’s total.
  • The Lightning are 40-23 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • The Maple Leafs have been listed as an underdog 16 times this season, and won 11, or 68.8%, of those games.

Lightning Stats & Insights

  • The Lightning score the eighth-most goals in the league, averaging 3.4 per game for a total of 280 this season.
  • On defense, the Lightning have given up 252 goals (3.1 per game) to rank 14th in league play.
  • They’re ranked 11th in the league with a +28 goal differential .
  • The Lightning have a 10.7% shooting percentage as a team, ranking seventh in the league.
  • The Lightning’s players are still looking for their first shutout win this season. As a team, they are averaging 24.7 hits and 14.0 blocked shots per game.
  • In the last 10 contests, the Lightning have claimed 65.0% of the possible points with a 4-5-1 record.
  • They are scoring at a 3.8 goals-per-game average (38 total) over that stretch.
  • On the defensive side, the Lightning have allowed 3.7 goals per game (37 total) over those 10 matchups.

Maple Leafs Stats & Insights

  • The Maple Leafs have scored the ninth-most goals (278 goals, 3.4 per game) in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have been one of the toughest defensive squads in the league this season, allowing 220 goals (2.7 per game) to rank seventh.
  • They have a +58 goal differential, which is fifth-best in the league.
  • The 10.6% shooting percentage the Maple Leafs have amassed ranks ninth in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have not had a shutout win yet this season.
  • Over the last 10 contests, the Maple Leafs are 7-2-1 (80.0% of possible points).
  • They have averaged 3.7 goals per game (37 total) during that span.
  • Defensively, the Maple Leafs have allowed 27 goals (2.7 per game) in those 10 matchups.

Lightning Key Players to Watch

  • Nikita Kucherov has been a top contributor on Tampa Bay this season, with 111 points in 82 games.
  • Brayden Point has 94 points (1.1 per game), scoring 50 goals and adding 44 assists.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a record of 34-22-4. He has allowed 159 goals (2.65 goals against average) and recorded 1716 saves.

Maple Leafs Key Players to Watch

  • Mitchell Marner has totaled 30 goals (0.4 per game) and collected 69 assists (0.9 per game), averaging 2.5 shots per game and shooting 15.3%. That makes him among the leaders for Toronto with 99 total points (1.2 per game).
  • William Nylander’s 87 points this season, including 40 goals and 47 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Toronto.
  • Ilya Samsonov has a record of 27-10-5 in 42 games this season, conceding 96 goals (2.3 goals against average) with 1088 saves and a .919 save percentage, sixth-best in the league.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Injuries

  • Lightning: Erik Cernak: Out (Head), Michael Eyssimont: Out (Undisclosed)
  • Maple Leafs: Matt Murray: Out (Head), Jake Muzzin: Out (Neck), Erik Gustafsson: Out (Upper Body), Michael Bunting: Out (Suspension), Victor Mete: Out (Lower Body), Nicholas Robertson: Out (Shoulder), Bobby McMann: Out (Knee)

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

  • Puck Line Pick:

    Maple Leafs (+1.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Under (6.5)

  • Score Prediction:
    Lightning 4 – Maple Leafs 3

How to Bet on Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

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Author: Matt Rooney

Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.