Maple Leafs vs. Lightning NHL Playoffs First Round Game 5: How to Watch, Odds, Picks & Predictions

Social Navigation

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning NHL Playoffs First Round Game 5: How to Watch, Odds, Picks & Predictions

NHL Predictions

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Tampa Bay Lightning for Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, April 27, beginning at 7:00 PM ET on TBS, CBC, SportsNet, TVAS, and BSSUN. The Maple Leafs are on top 3-1 in the series. The Lightning are the underdog (+133) in this decisive matchup with the Maple Leafs (-156).

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds

  • Favorite: Maple Leafs (-156)
  • Underdog: Lightning (+133)
  • Over/under: 6.5

When is Maple Leafs vs. Lightning and when does it start?

This matchup between the Maple Leafs and Lightning is scheduled to start on Thursday, April 27, 2023. Be ready to see the puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.

Where to Watch Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

The Maple Leafs and Lightning will start skating at Scotiabank Arena for this matchup on April 27, and if you want to see the action live, get your tickets now from Vivid Seats!

What channel is the game on?

You can catch this game live on TBS, CBC, SportsNet, TVAS, and BSSUN.

Watch the Maple Leafs vs. Lightning live stream on Fubo

Free Live Stream Online: Start your free Fubo trial today!

Who Will Win Maple Leafs vs. Lightning?

Maple Leafs and Lightning Betting Trends

  • In 43 of 86 matches this season, Toronto and its opponent have combined to finish above 6.5 goals.
  • Tampa Bay has played 46 games this season with over 6.5 goals.
  • These teams score 6.8 goals per game combined, 0.3 more than this match’s total.
  • These two teams concede a combined 5.8 goals per game, 0.7 fewer than this match’s total.
  • The Maple Leafs are 41-28 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • This season the Lightning have been an underdog 21 times, and won seven, or 33.3%, of those games.

Maple Leafs Stats & Insights

  • The Maple Leafs create the ninth-most goals in the NHL, averaging 3.4 per game for a total of 278 this season.
  • The Maple Leafs are ranked seventh in league play for the fewest goals against this season, having conceded 220 total goals (2.7 per game).
  • The team has the league’s fifth-best goal differential at +58 this season.
  • The Maple Leafs connect on 10.6% of their shots, ranking ninth in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs have yet to shut out an opponent this season, averaging 21.7 hits and 14.8 blocked shots per game.
  • In their past 10 matchups, the Maple Leafs have gone 8-1-1 to earn 85.0% of the possible points.
  • They are scoring at a 4.0 goals-per-game average (40 total) over that time.
  • Over on the defensive end, the Maple Leafs have given up 27 goals (2.7 per game) over those 10 outings.

Lightning Stats & Insights

  • The Lightning have the NHL’s eighth-best scoring offense (280 total goals, 3.4 per game).
  • The Lightning’s 252 total goals conceded (3.1 per game) rank 14th in the league.
  • Their 11th-ranked goal differential is +28.
  • The Lightning’s collective 10.7% shooting percentage ranks seventh in the league.
  • The Lightning have not yet shut out an opponent this season.
  • In their last 10 games, the Lightning are 3-5-2 to earn 55.0% of the possible points.
  • They have totaled 37 goals over that span.
  • Over on the defensive end, the Lightning have allowed 4.1 goals per game (41 total) over those 10 matchups.

Maple Leafs Key Players to Watch

  • One of Toronto’s most productive offensives player this season is Mitchell Marner, who has 99 points (30 goals, 69 assists) and plays an average of 21:16 per game.
  • William Nylander has 40 goals and 47 assists to total 87 points (1.1 per game).
  • In 42 games, Ilya Samsonov has a record of 27-10-5. He has conceded 96 goals (2.33 goals against average) and has recorded 1088 saves.

Lightning Key Players to Watch

  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded 31 goals (0.4 per game) and collected 80 assists (1.0 per game), averaging 3.3 shots per game and shooting 11.4%. That makes him among the leaders for Tampa Bay with 111 total points (1.4 per game).
  • Brayden Point has made a major impact for Tampa Bay this season with 94 points, thanks to 50 goals and 44 assists.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a record of 34-22-4 in 60 games this season, conceding 159 goals (2.6 goals against average) with 1716 saves and a .915 save percentage, 11th in the league.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Injuries

  • Maple Leafs: Matt Murray: Out (Head), Jake Muzzin: Out (Neck), Erik Gustafsson: Questionable (Upper Body), Victor Mete: Out (Lower Body), Nicholas Robertson: Out (Shoulder), Bobby McMann: Out (Knee)
  • Lightning: Erik Cernak: Out (Head), Michael Eyssimont: Questionable (Undisclosed)

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction

  • Puck Line Pick:

    Maple Leafs (-1.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Under (6.5)

  • Score Prediction:
    Maple Leafs 4 – Lightning 2

How to Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

Get more NHL news, picks, and predictions, read the latest NHL game previews, and view the latest live NHL lines on Betsperts.

If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on hockey and find the best NHL betting sites and promo codes.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning NHL Sportsbook Promos

Latest from Bleacher Nation:

Author: Matt Rooney

Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.