Lightning vs. Maple Leafs NHL Playoffs First Round Game 6: How to Watch, Odds, Picks & Predictions

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs NHL Playoffs First Round Game 6: How to Watch, Odds, Picks & Predictions

NHL Predictions

Game 6 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Amalie Arena on Saturday, April 29 showcases the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Toronto Maple Leafs playing at 7:00 PM ET on TBS, CBC, SportsNet, and BSSUN. The Maple Leafs lead 3-2 in the series. The Lightning are favored (-110) in this decisive matchup with the Maple Leafs (-110).

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds

  • Favorite: Lightning (-110)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (-110)
  • Over/under: 6.5

When is Lightning vs. Maple Leafs and when does it start?

This game between the Lightning and Maple Leafs is scheduled to start on Saturday, April 29, 2023. You can expect the puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.

Where to Watch Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

The Lightning and Maple Leafs will lace up the skates at Amalie Arena for this matchup on April 29, and if you’d like to see the event live, get your tickets now from Vivid Seats!

What channel is the game on?

You can catch this game live on TBS, CBC, SportsNet, and BSSUN.

Watch the Lightning vs. Maple Leafs live stream on Fubo

Free Live Stream Online: Start your free Fubo trial today!

Who Will Win Lightning vs. Maple Leafs?

Lightning and Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 46 of 87 games this season.
  • Toronto’s games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 43 of 87 times.
  • These two teams rack up 6.8 goals per match between them, 0.3 more than this game’s over/under.
  • Opponents of these two teams score 5.8 goals per game combined, 0.7 fewer than this match’s total.
  • The Lightning have been a moneyline favorite 64 times this season, and have finished 40-24 in those games.
  • The Maple Leafs have been an underdog in 17 games this season, and won 12 (70.6%).

Lightning Stats & Insights

  • The Lightning net the eighth-most goals in the league, averaging 3.4 per game for a total of 280 this season.
  • The Lightning are ranked 14th in league play in goals against this season, having conceded 252 total goals (3.1 per game).
  • Their goal differential (+28) ranks them 11th in the NHL.
  • The Lightning shoot 10.7% as a team, ranked seventh-best in the league.
  • The Lightning average 24.7 hits and 14 blocked shots per game.
  • Over the last 10 contests, the Lightning are 3-5-2 (55.0% of possible points).
  • They have averaged 3.6 goals per game (36 total) over that stretch.
  • Over on the defensive end, the Lightning have given up 43 goals (4.3 per game) in those 10 matchups.

Maple Leafs Stats & Insights

  • The Maple Leafs have scored the ninth-most goals (278 goals, 3.4 per game) in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs’ 220 total goals allowed (2.7 per game) are the seventh-fewest in the league.
  • They have a +58 goal differential, which is fifth-best in the league.
  • The 10.6% shooting percentage the Maple Leafs have amassed ranks ninth in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have not yet shut out an opponent this season.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Maple Leafs are 7-2-1 to earn 80.0% of the possible points.
  • They have put up 38 goals over that stretch.
  • On the defensive end, the Maple Leafs have allowed 28 goals (2.8 per game) in those 10 matchups.

Lightning Key Players to Watch

  • Nikita Kucherov is currently one of Tampa Bay’s leading contributors (111 total points), having amassed 31 goals and 80 assists.
  • Brayden Point is another leading option for Tampa Bay with 94 points (1.1 per game), scoring 50 goals and adding 44 assists.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a record of 34-22-4. He has allowed 159 goals (2.65 goals against average) and racked up 1716 saves.

Maple Leafs Key Players to Watch

  • Toronto’s Mitchell Marner has totaled 69 assists and 30 goals in 80 games, good for 99 points.
  • William Nylander is a top scorer for Toronto, with 87 total points this season. He has scored 40 goals and provided 47 assists in 82 contests.
  • Ilya Samsonov’s record stands at 27-10-5 on the season, allowing 96 goals (2.3 goals against average) and amassing 1088 saves with a .919 save percentage (sixth-best in the league).

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Injuries

  • Lightning: Erik Cernak: Out (Head), Tanner Jeannot: Questionable (Undisclosed)
  • Maple Leafs: Mark Giordano: Questionable (Undisclosed), Matt Murray: Out (Head), Jake Muzzin: Out (Neck), Erik Gustafsson: Questionable (Upper Body), Victor Mete: Out (Lower Body), Nicholas Robertson: Out (Shoulder), Bobby McMann: Out (Knee)

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

  • Puck Line Pick:

    Maple Leafs (+1.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Under (6.5)

  • Score Prediction:
    Lightning 4 – Maple Leafs 3

How to Bet on Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

Get more NHL news, picks, and predictions, read the latest NHL game previews, and view the latest live NHL lines on Betsperts.

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Author: Matt Rooney

Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.