Brewers vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 11, 2024

William Contreras, batting .364 this season, leads the Milwaukee Brewers (8-3) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Spencer Steer (.372 AVG) and the Cincinnati Reds (6-6). Contreras and the Brewers are -135 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Great American Ball Park, beginning at 1:10 PM ET live on BSOH.

Freddy Peralta will get the ball for Milwaukee while Cincinnati will counter with Nick Martinez.

Brewers vs. Reds Odds

  • Brewers odds to win: -135
  • Reds odds to win: +112
  • Spread: Brewers -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, April 11, 2024
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • TV: BSOH
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    Who Will Win Brewers vs. Reds?

    Brewers and Reds Betting Trends

    The Brewers are 3-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 60% of those games).

    Milwaukee has played as moneyline favorites of -135 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.

    The Reds have been underdogs in five games this season and won three (60%) of those contests.

    Cincinnati has a record of 2-1 when it’s set as an underdog of +112 or more by sportsbooks this season.

    The Brewers have had an over/under set by bookmakers 11 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in seven of those games (7-4-0).

    So far this season, the Reds and their opponents have hit the over in nine of their 12 games with a total.

    Brewers Stats & Insights

    The Brewers are the ninth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 5.9 runs per game (65 total).

    Milwaukee is third-best in baseball with 16 total home runs.

    The Brewers are fourth in the majors with a .272 batting average.

    Milwaukee strikes out 9.3 times per game, the No. 14 average in MLB.

    The Brewers pitching staff is 25th in the majors with a collective 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Milwaukee has a 3.77 team ERA that ranks 11th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Reds Stats & Insights

    The Reds have scored the 10th-most runs in the league this season with 63.

    Cincinnati ranks 10th in Major League Baseball with 13 home runs.

    The Reds rank 15th in MLB with a .240 team batting average.

    Cincinnati ranks 25th in strikeouts per game (9.9) among MLB offenses.

    The Reds average the 12th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.8) in the majors this season.

    Cincinnati has pitched to a 4.50 ERA this season, which ranks 21st in baseball.

    Brewers Key Players to Watch

    The Brewers will look to Peralta (1-0) in his third start of the season.

    Christian Yelich is batting .316 this season with a team-high five home runs and 11 RBI.

    Contreras is a key run producer for Milwaukee with a .364 average, two homers and 11 RBI.

    Brice Turang has 13 hits this season and a slash line of .342/.381/.526.

    Jackson Chourio is batting .282 with an OBP of .326 and a slugging percentage of .462 this season.

    Reds Key Players to Watch

    Martinez will get the start for the Reds, his third of the season.

    Steer leads the Reds with three home runs and 15 runs batted in, while racking up a team-high batting average of .372.

    Elly De La Cruz has shown his power as he leads his team with three home runs.

    Jonathan India is hitting .244 with two doubles, a triple and eight walks.

    Will Benson is hitting .209 with five doubles, a triple, two home runs and four walks.

    Brewers and Reds Injuries

    Brewers: Garrett Mitchell: 10 Day IL (Finger), Jakob Junis: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Taylor Clarke: 15 Day IL (Meniscus), Devin Williams: 60 Day IL (Back), Brandon Woodruff: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Megill: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

    Reds: TJ Friedl: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Nick Lodolo: 15 Day IL (Calf), Sam Moll: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Alex Young: 15 Day IL (Back), Ian Gibaut: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Tejay Antone: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Brandon Williamson: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Matt McLain: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Brewers vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 6, Reds 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Brewers vs. Reds

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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