Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 17, 2024

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An NL East matchup Friday features the first-place Philadelphia Phillies (31-14) hosting the third-place Washington Nationals (20-22). The Phillies (-247) are listed as favorites for the game, which gets underway at 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park.

Zack Wheeler will get the ball for Philadelphia while Washington will counter with Jake Irvin.

Phillies vs. Nationals Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -247
  • Nationals odds to win: +206
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
  • Phillies vs. Nationals Promo Codes

    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, May 17, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV: NBCS-PH
  • Who Will Win Phillies vs. Nationals?

    Phillies and Nationals Betting Trends

    The Phillies have gone 26-11 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 70.3% of those games).

    Philadelphia has played four times as moneyline favorites with odds of -247 or shorter, and won in each game.

    The Nationals have entered the game as underdogs 37 times this season and won 17, or 45.9%, of those games.

    Washington has played as an underdog of +206 or more twice this season and split those games.

    In the 45 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Phillies, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 23 times (23-20-2).

    The Nationals’ games have gone over the total in 18 of their 42 chances.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies have the No. 2 offense in baseball scoring 5.3 runs per game (237 total runs).

    Philadelphia averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank sixth in MLB play with 51 total home runs.

    The Phillies’ .258 batting average is fourth-best in the majors.

    Philadelphia strikes out 8.6 times per game to rank 20th in the majors.

    The Phillies pitching staff ranks second in MLB with a collective 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Philadelphia has a 3.17 team ERA that ranks third across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Nationals Stats & Insights

    The Nationals have scored 166 runs (just four per game) this season, which ranks 26th in MLB.

    Washington’s 35 home runs rank 26th in MLB this season.

    The Nationals’ .225 batting average ranks 24th in the league this season.

    Washington ranks 11th with an average of 8.2 strikeouts per game.

    The Nationals strike out just eight batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, which ranks 27th in MLB.

    Washington pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.76 ERA this year, which ranks 11th in MLB.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies, his 10th of the season. He is 4-3 with a 2.53 ERA and 65 strikeouts in 53 1/3 innings pitched.

    Alec Bohm is batting .333 for Philadelphia with a team-high 36 RBI.

    Bryce Harper leads Philadelphia in home runs with 10 while driving in 32 runs and slugging .520.

    Bryson Stott has collected 35 base hits, an OBP of .394 and a slugging percentage of .448 this season.

    Kyle Schwarber is batting .223 with an OBP of .328 and a slugging percentage of .404 this season.

    Nationals Key Players to Watch

    The Nationals’ Irvin (2-3) will make his ninth start of the season.

    C.J. Abrams has a team-high seven homers.

    Jesse Winker has eight doubles, four home runs and 20 walks while batting .228.

    Luis Garcia has accumulated a team-best batting average of .283.

    Jacob Young is hitting .262 with six doubles and seven walks.

    Phillies and Nationals Injuries

    Phillies: Trea Turner: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Rafael Marchan: 10 Day IL (Back), Yunior Marte: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Dylan Covey: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Ortiz: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Michael Rucker: 15 Day IL (Hand), Taijuan Walker: day-to-day (Foot)

    Nationals: Lane Thomas: 10 Day IL (Knee), Josiah Gray: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Mason Thompson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jose Ferrer: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Garcia: day-to-day (Undisclosed)

    Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Phillies vs. Nationals

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