Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets for Western Conference Semifinals Game 7 – Sunday, May 19, 2024

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The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4.5-point underdogs in a decisive Game 7 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Sunday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The series is knotted up 3-3. The matchup’s over/under is 200.5.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds

  • Nuggets odds to win: -198
  • Timberwolves odds to win: +164
  • Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
  • Total: 200.5
  • How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

    Game Time and Information

  • When: Sunday, May 19, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: TNT
  • Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Timberwolves?

    Nuggets and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    When they have played as at least 4.5-point favorites this season, the Nuggets are 25-28-2 against the spread.

    When they have played as at least 4.5-point underdogs this year, the Timberwolves are 4-4 against the spread.

    The Nuggets and the Timberwolves combine to average 27.4 more points per game than the over/under of 200.5 set for this matchup.

    Opponents of the two teams average a combined 15.6 more points per game (216.1) than this game’s total of 200.5 points.

    The Nuggets’ average total in matchups this year has been 224.5, 24.0 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.

    The average over/under in Minnesota’s games this season is 19.0 more points than the point total of 200.5 in this outing.

    Denver is 38-42-2 against the spread this season.

    The Timberwolves’ ATS record is 40-40-2 this season.

    Nuggets Stats & Insights

    The Nuggets average 114.9 points per game (14th in the league) while giving up 109.6 per contest (sixth in the NBA). They have a +431 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 5.3 points per game.

    The Nuggets win the rebound battle by 2.1 boards on average. They record 44.4 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in the league, while their opponents pull down 42.3 per outing.

    Denver makes 11.7 three-pointers per game (25th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.2. It shoots 37.4% from deep while its opponents hit 35.5% from long range.

    The Nuggets rank fifth in the league by averaging 119.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are eighth in the NBA, allowing 113.9 points per 100 possessions.

    The Nuggets’ offense has been much better at home (118.5 PPG) compared to road games (111.2 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been better when playing at home (108.7 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (110.5 PPG allowed).

    Timberwolves Stats & Insights

    The Timberwolves’ +529 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 113.0 points per game (18th in NBA) while giving up 106.5 per contest (first in league).

    The 43.6 rebounds per game Minnesota accumulates rank 15th in the NBA, 2.2 more than the 41.4 its opponents record.

    The Timberwolves knock down 12.6 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) while shooting 38.7% from beyond the arc (third-best in NBA). They are making 1.2 more threes than their opponents, who drain 11.4 per game at 35.4%.

    The Timberwolves rank 16th in the league averaging 116.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are first, allowing 109.9 points per 100 possessions.

    Minnesota scores 112.0 points per game at home, and 114.0 away.

    Nuggets Key Players to Watch

    Nikola Jokic averages 26.4 points and 12.4 rebounds per game, with 9.0 assists.

    Michael Porter Jr. leads active Nuggets in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.7 shots per game from beyond the arc.

    Jokic picks up 1.4 takeaways per game, and Peyton Watson collects 1.1 rejections per contest.

    Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

    Anthony Edwards scores 25.9 points per game. He also contributes 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game this season.

    This season, Rudy Gobert has a statline that includes 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds per game.

    Edwards knocks down 2.4 threes per game.

    The Timberwolves’ defensive effort gets a lift from Edwards’ 1.3 steals and Gobert’s 2.1 blocks per game.

    Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 4.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (200.5)

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 111 – Timberwolves 110
  • Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Promo Codes

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