Braves vs. Cubs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 21, 2024

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Led by Marcell Ozuna (two-game homer streak), the Atlanta Braves (27-17) are favorites versus the Chicago Cubs (26-22) Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET. Sportsbooks have named the Braves as -126 favorites for the game, which airs on BSSO.

Atlanta’s Charlie Morton gets the start, and he’ll go against Chicago’s Javier Assad.

Braves vs. Cubs Odds

  • Braves odds to win: -126
  • Cubs odds to win: +107
  • Spread: Braves -1.5
  • Total: 11.5 runs
  • Braves vs. Cubs Promo Codes

    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Tuesday, May 21, 2024
  • Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • TV: BSSO
  • Who Will Win Braves vs. Cubs?

    Braves and Cubs Betting Trends

    The Braves are 27-14 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 65.9% of those games).

    Atlanta has gone 25-12 (winning 67.6% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -126 or shorter.

    This season, the Cubs have been the underdog 28 times and won 14, or 50%, of those games.

    Chicago is 11-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +107 or more on the moneyline.

    The Braves have combined with opponents to go over the total 14 times this season for a 14-28-2 record against the over/under.

    The Cubs and their opponents have hit the over in 20 of their 48 games with a total this season.

    Braves Stats & Insights

    The Braves are the 16th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.6 runs per game (203 total).

    Atlanta averages one home run per game to rank 16th in MLB play with 46 total home runs .

    The Braves are sixth in the majors with a .255 batting average.

    Atlanta’s 8.8 strikeouts per game rank 14th in baseball.

    The pitching staff for the Braves has a collective 8.5 K/9, which ranks 16th in MLB.

    Atlanta’s 3.45 team ERA ranks ninth across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Cubs Stats & Insights

    The Cubs have scored 212 runs (4.4 per game) this season, which ranks 12th in MLB.

    Chicago’s 48 home runs rank 14th in Major League Baseball.

    The Cubs’ .230 batting average ranks 24th in the league this season.

    Chicago ranks 21st in strikeouts per game (8.7) among MLB offenses.

    The Cubs average 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, seventh-most in the majors.

    Chicago has pitched to a 3.70 ERA this season, which ranks 11th in baseball.

    Braves Key Players to Watch

    Morton (3-1) gets the starting nod for the Braves in his ninth start of the season. He has a 3.52 ERA in 46 2/3 innings pitched, with 44 strikeouts.

    Ozuna leads Atlanta in batting average (.327), home runs (14) and runs batted in (43) this season.

    Ronald Acuna Jr. has 43 hits and an OBP of .359 to go with a slugging percentage of .359 this season.

    Ozzie Albies has collected 41 base hits, an OBP of .333 and a slugging percentage of .403 this season.

    Matt Olson has 37 hits and an OBP of .332 to go with a slugging percentage of .410 this season.

    Cubs Key Players to Watch

    Assad (4-0) will take the mound for the Cubs, his 10th start of the season.

    Christopher Morel has accumulated a team-best nine home runs and 33 runs batted in.

    Nico Hoerner is batting .269 to lead his team.

    Mike Tauchman has nine doubles, a triple, four home runs and 25 walks while hitting .257.

    Cody Bellinger has seven doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 15 walks while batting .263.

    Braves and Cubs Injuries

    Braves: Sean Murphy: 10 Day IL (Oblique strain), Spencer Strider: 15 Day IL (Right elbow strain), Tyler Matzek: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Angel Perdomo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Austin Riley: day-to-day (Oblique)

    Cubs: Drew Smyly: 15 Day IL (Hip), Jordan Wicks: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Yency Almonte: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Colten Brewer: 15 Day IL (Back), Keegan Thompson: 15 Day IL (Illness), Daniel Palencia: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Adbert Alzolay: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Julian Merryweather: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Caleb Kilian: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Braves vs. Cubs Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 4, Braves 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 11.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Braves vs. Cubs

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