Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, August 28, 2024

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The New York Mets (69-63) are +106 moneyline underdogs Wednesday despite their plans to send Luis Severino to the mound to face the Arizona Diamondbacks (75-57). Severino will be seeking win No. 10 win against the odds, with first pitch slated for 9:40 p.m. ET, live on SNY.

Eduardo Rodriguez will get the ball for Arizona while New York will counter with Severino.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds

  • Diamondbacks odds to win: -125
  • Mets odds to win: +106
  • Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
  • Diamondbacks vs. Mets Promo Codes

    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Wednesday, August 28, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • TV: SNY
  • Who Will Win Diamondbacks vs. Mets?

    Diamondbacks and Mets Betting Trends

    The Diamondbacks are 40-25 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 61.5% of those games).

    Arizona has a 31-14 record (winning 68.9% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -125 or shorter.

    The Mets have entered the game as underdogs 54 times this season and won 26, or 48.1%, of those games.

    New York is 17-14 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +106 or more on the moneyline.

    In the 132 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Diamondbacks, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-52-7).

    The Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 67 of their 132 games with a total this season.

    Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

    The Diamondbacks have the top offense in baseball scoring 5.3 runs per game (704 total runs).

    Arizona ranks seventh-best in MLB action with 162 total home runs.

    The Diamondbacks have the third-best batting average in the majors (.260).

    Arizona’s batters strike out 7.7 times per game, the seventh-lowest average in MLB.

    The 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Diamondbacks pitching staff ranks 29th in the majors.

    Arizona’s 4.44 team ERA ranks 25th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets have scored 631 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB.

    New York ranks fifth in Major League Baseball with 168 home runs.

    The Mets have a team batting average of .249 this season, which ranks 12th among MLB teams.

    New York ranks 16th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.5 Ks per contest.

    The Mets strike out 8.9 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, sixth-best in MLB.

    New York pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.12 ERA this year, which ranks 16th in MLB.

    Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

    Rodriguez (2-0) takes the mound for the Diamondbacks in his fourth start of the season. He’s put together a 3.94 ERA in 16 2/3 innings pitched, with 11 strikeouts.

    Corbin Carroll has been key for Arizona with 15 home runs, 55 RBI and a batting average of .223 this season.

    Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has collected 129 hits this season and has an OBP of .313. He’s slugging .424 on the year.

    Josh Bell is slashing .243/.312/.409 this season for the Diamondbacks.

    Joc Pederson is batting .282 with an OBP of .401 and a slugging percentage of .536 this season.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    The Mets will send Severino (9-6) to the mound for his 26th start this season.

    Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 78 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .270.

    Pete Alonso has hit 28 home runs to lead his team.

    Brandon Nimmo is hitting .230 with 23 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 68 walks.

    Jesse Winker has 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 56 walks while batting .261.

    Diamondbacks and Mets Injuries

    Diamondbacks: Christian Walker: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Gabriel Moreno: 10 Day IL (Abductor), Ketel Marte: 10 Day IL (Ankle), Bryce Jarvis: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kyle Nelson: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Drey Jameson: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Mets: Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Paul Blackburn: 15 Day IL (Hand), Christian Scott: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Drew Smith: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brooks Raley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Calf)

    Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 4, Mets 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • How to Bet on Diamondbacks vs. Mets

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