The Minnesota Twins (75-64), led by the red-hot Carlos Santana and his two-game homer streak, are -151 favorites to pick up a win over the Tampa Bay Rays (69-70) Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET, live from Tropicana Field and broadcast on BSSUN.
Minnesota’s Pablo Lopez gets the start, and he’ll go against Tampa Bay’s Taj Bradley.
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Twins and Rays Betting Trends
The Twins have been favored on the moneyline 95 total times this season. They’ve gone 59-36 in those games.
In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -151 or shorter, Minnesota has a 32-14 record (winning 69.6% of its games).
The Rays have entered the game as underdogs 71 times this season and won 33, or 46.5%, of those games.
Tampa Bay has a record of 8-11, a 42.1% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +128 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The Twins have played in 139 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 71 times (71-64-4).
So far this season, the Rays and their opponents have hit the over in 63 of their 139 games with a total.
Twins Stats & Insights
The Twins are the 11th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.8 runs per game (662 total).
Minnesota is 10th in baseball with 168 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.
The Twins have the eighth-best batting average in the league (.252).
Minnesota strikes out 8 times per game, the ninth-fewest mark in baseball.
The 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Twins pitching staff ranks third in MLB.
Minnesota has a 4.19 team ERA that ranks 19th among all MLB pitching staffs.
Rays Stats & Insights
The Rays have scored 542 runs (just 3.9 per game) this season, which ranks 28th in MLB.
Tampa Bay’s 128 home runs rank 27th in MLB this season.
The Rays have a team batting average of just .231 this season, which ranks 27th among MLB teams.
Tampa Bay ranks 25th with an average of 9.2 strikeouts per game.
The Rays strike out 8.6 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 13th in MLB.
Tampa Bay has pitched to a 3.96 ERA this season, which ranks 13th in baseball.
Twins Key Players to Watch
Lopez gets the start for the Twins, his 28th of the season. He is 13-8 with a 4.05 ERA and 164 strikeouts through 155 2/3 innings pitched.
Santana leads Minnesota in home runs (20) and runs batted in (60) this season while batting .238.
Willi Castro leads Minnesota in batting with a .250 average while slugging 11 homers and driving in 52 runs.
Jose Miranda is slashing .301/.341/.470 this season for the Twins.
Ryan Jeffers is slugging .460 this season, with a team-best 20 homers while driving in 59 runs.
Rays Key Players to Watch
The Rays will send Bradley (6-9) to the mound for his 21st start this season.
Yandy Diaz paces the Rays in runs batted in (61) and has accumulated a team-best batting average of .276.
Christopher Morel’s 21 home runs are a team-high mark.
Brandon Lowe is batting .244 with 19 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 31 walks.
Jose Caballero is batting .230 with 23 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 23 walks.
Twins and Rays Injuries
Twins: Byron Buxton: 10 Day IL (Hip), Carlos Correa: 10 Day IL (Foot), Manuel Margot: 10 Day IL (Groin), Kody Funderburk: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Anthony DeSclafani: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Alex Kirilloff: 60 Day IL (Back), Brock Stewart: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Justin Topa: 60 Day IL (Knee), Daniel Duarte: 60 Day IL (Tricep), Joe Ryan: 60 Day IL (Tricep), Max Kepler: day-to-day (Knee)
Rays: Richard Palacios: 10 Day IL (Knee), Colin Poche: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Peter Anderson Fairbanks: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Shane McClanahan: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Jacob Waguespack: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)
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