The Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-0) will look to upset the No. 17 Michigan Wolverines (1-1) on Saturday, September 14, 2024 at Michigan Stadium. The Wolverines are without a doubt the favorites in this one, with the line sitting at 22 points. The over/under in this outing is 47.5 points.
Michigan vs. Arkansas State Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Wolverines (-22)
Moneyline: Wolverines (-1639), Red Wolves (+950)
Total: 47.5 points
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How to Watch Michigan vs. Arkansas State
When: Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 12:00 p.m. ET
Location: Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan
TV: BTN
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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Michigan 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
162.5 (325) |
113 |
Rush yards |
114.0 (228) |
101 |
Points scored |
21.0 (42) |
101 |
Pass yards against |
240.5 (481) |
98 |
Rush yards against |
76.0 (152) |
23 |
Points allowed |
20.5 (41) |
69 |
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Michigan 2024 Betting Info
The Wolverines have compiled a 0-2-0 record against the spread this season.
Games featuring the Wolverines have hit the over once this season.
The average point total in Wolverines games this year is 3.5 less points than the total of 47.5 in this matchup.
Michigan Home/Away Splits (2023)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
47.8 |
50.4 |
43.9 |
Implied Total AVG |
34.7 |
37.2 |
30.8 |
ATS Record |
9-5-1 |
4-4-1 |
5-1-0 |
Over/Under Record |
8-7-0 |
4-5-0 |
4-2-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
15-0 |
9-0 |
6-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
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Michigan’s Offense vs. Arkansas State’s Defense (2024)
The Wolverines are first in the FBS in red zone offense (100.0%), and will be facing the 87th-ranked red zone defense, owned by the Red Wolves (100.0%).
The Wolverines rank 87th with 4.0 yards per carry, compared to the 6.2 per rush the Red Wolves allow (131st in the FBS).
Michigan averages 162.5 passing yards per game (113th in the FBS). It will be up against takes on the Red Wolves’ defense which ranks 70th, allowing 198.0 yards per game through the air.
Arkansas State 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
286.0 (572) |
36 |
Rush yards |
140.5 (281) |
86 |
Points scored |
31.0 (62) |
69 |
Pass yards against |
198.0 (396) |
70 |
Rush yards against |
199.0 (398) |
115 |
Points allowed |
27.5 (55) |
102 |
Arkansas State 2024 Betting Info
The Red Wolves are winless against the spread this season.
No Red Wolves game has gone over the point total this year.
The average total the Wolverines have had set in games this year is 3.5 less points than this outing’s point total.
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Arkansas State Home/Away Splits (2023)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
54.8 |
55.2 |
54.5 |
Implied Total AVG |
32.9 |
33.5 |
32.4 |
ATS Record |
6-6-1 |
3-2-1 |
3-4-0 |
Over/Under Record |
6-7-0 |
2-4-0 |
4-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
1-1 |
1-0 |
0-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
5-6 |
3-2 |
2-4 |
Arkansas State’s Offense vs. Michigan’s Defense (2024)
The Wolverines allow third-down conversions on 44.4% of their opponents’ attempts (111th in the FBS). The Red Wolves have a 48.7% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 38th in college football.
Arkansas State ranks 101st in the FBS averaging 3.3 yards per carry. Michigan gives up 2.8 per rushing attempt (36th in college football).
The Red Wolves have the 86th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (140.5 yards per game). They take on the Wolverines’ 23rd-ranked rushing defense, which gives up 76.0 on the ground per game.
The 286.0 passing yards per game Arkansas State averages ranks 36th in the FBS, while the 240.5 Michigan gives up ranks 98th in college football.
Michigan vs. Arkansas State Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Michigan vs. Arkansas State is the Wolverines (-1639 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we prefer the under at 47.5 points.