The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-1) will look to upset the Toledo Rockets (3-0) on Saturday, September 21, 2024 at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. The spread foreshadows a close game, with the Rockets favored by 2 points. The over/under is 61 in the contest.
Toledo vs. Western Kentucky Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Rockets (-2)
Moneyline: Rockets (-130), Hilltoppers (+110)
Total: 61 points
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How to Watch Toledo vs. Western Kentucky
When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 7:00 p.m. ET
Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, Kentucky
TV: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
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Toledo 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
246.3 (739) |
56 |
Rush yards |
139.7 (419) |
91 |
Points scored |
42.7 (128) |
16 |
Pass yards against |
246.3 (739) |
104 |
Rush yards against |
104.7 (314) |
36 |
Points allowed |
16.7 (50) |
45 |
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Toledo 2024 Betting Info
The Rockets have a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
In games it has played as at least 2-point favorites this season, Toledo is 1-1 against the spread.
This season, games featuring the Rockets have gone over the point total every time.
The average over/under the Rockets have had set in matchups this season is 7.0 less points than this outing’s point total.
Toledo Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
49.1 |
49.1 |
49.1 |
Implied Total AVG |
30.5 |
31.7 |
29.6 |
ATS Record |
6-7-0 |
2-4-0 |
4-3-0 |
Over/Under Record |
6-7-0 |
3-3-0 |
3-4-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
10-1 |
5-1 |
5-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-2 |
0-0 |
0-2 |
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Toledo’s Offense vs. Western Kentucky’s Defense (2024)
The Rockets have the No. 24 yards-per-pass average in college football (9.1 per attempt). The Hilltoppers’ defense gives up 11.6 per attempt (No. 134 in college football).
Western Kentucky gives up 0.5 points per play (106th in college football), while Toledo collects 0.7 per play (eighth in the FBS).
The Rockets’ 18th-ranked scoring offense averages 42.7 points per game. The Hilltoppers have the 99th-ranked scoring defense (28.0 ppg).
Toledo is 46th in the FBS in third-down percentage (44.4%) and will be facing the 117th-ranked Western Kentucky defense in that category (44.4%).
Western Kentucky 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
311.7 (935) |
17 |
Rush yards |
102.7 (308) |
111 |
Points scored |
26.7 (80) |
76 |
Pass yards against |
266.0 (798) |
111 |
Rush yards against |
194.0 (582) |
115 |
Points allowed |
28.0 (84) |
99 |
Western Kentucky 2024 Betting Info
The Hilltoppers have posted two wins against the spread this year.
Toledo has a 1-1 record against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.
The Hilltoppers have played two games (out of three) which finished over the total this year.
The Rockets’ average point total in matchups this year is 54.0, 7.0 points below the total in this game.
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Western Kentucky Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
58.8 |
61.9 |
57.1 |
Implied Total AVG |
34.2 |
34.5 |
34.0 |
ATS Record |
6-5-0 |
2-2-0 |
4-3-0 |
Over/Under Record |
6-5-0 |
2-2-0 |
4-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
5-2 |
2-1 |
3-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-3 |
0-1 |
1-2 |
Western Kentucky’s Offense vs. Toledo’s Defense (2024)
The 311.7 passing yards per game the Hilltoppers average ranks them 17th in the FBS, while the 246.3 the Rockets give up ranks them 104th in college football.
Western Kentucky ranks 105th in the FBS averaging 3.5 yards per carry. Toledo allows 3.0 per rushing attempt (28th in college football).
The Hilltoppers have the 111th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (102.7 yards per game). They take on the Rockets’ 36th-ranked rushing defense, which allows 104.7 on the ground per game.
Western Kentucky averages 0.4 points per play (75th in the FBS), and Toledo allows 0.2 per play (13th in college football).
Toledo vs. Western Kentucky Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Toledo vs. Western Kentucky is the Rockets (-130 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we pick the over at 61 points.