Two of the WNBA’s top scorers face off — Arike Ogunbowale (second, 22.2 points per game) and A’ja Wilson (first, 26.9) — when the Dallas Wings (9-30) visit the Las Vegas Aces (26-13) on Thursday, September 19, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET.
Our computer predictions for Thursday’s game may help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
Pick the Aces (+3.5) to Cover
The Wings have covered the spread in a matchup 11 times this season (11-28-0).
The Aces have covered the spread in a matchup 18 times this year (18-21-0).
The Wings are just 1-8 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
The Aces are a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
Take the Over (169.5)
Wings games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 169.5 points 20 times.
Aces games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 169.5 points in 17 of 39 outings.
The two teams combine to score 170.3 points per game, 0.8 more points than this matchup’s total.
Opponents of these two teams put up 172.8 points per game combined, 3.3 more points than this contest’s over/under.
The average total in Wings games this season is 169.0, 0.5 points fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
The average over/under for Aces outings this season is 170.5, 1.0 more point than this game’s total.
Back the Aces on the Moneyline (-155)
The Wings have won three of the nine games they were the moneyline favorite this season (33.3%).
The Aces lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season.
The Wings are 3-5 (winning only 37.5% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -155 or shorter.
The Aces have played as an underdog of +130 or more once this season and lost that game.
Based on this game’s moneyline, the Wings have an implied win probability of 60.8%.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Aces.