The Duke Blue Devils (4-0) and North Carolina Tar Heels (3-1) meet with the Victory Bell at stake on Saturday, September 28, 2024 at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium. The Blue Devils are favored by only 1.5 points. An over/under of 55.5 points has been set for the contest.
Duke vs. North Carolina Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Blue Devils (-1.5)
Moneyline: Blue Devils (-115), Tar Heels (-105)
Total: 55.5 points
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How to Watch Duke vs. North Carolina
When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:00 p.m. ET
Location: Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium in Wilmington, North Carolina
TV: ESPN2
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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Duke 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
255.8 (1023) |
49 |
Rush yards |
104.5 (418) |
111 |
Points scored |
30.8 (123) |
58 |
Pass yards against |
132.5 (530) |
14 |
Rush yards against |
126.5 (506) |
59 |
Points allowed |
15.3 (61) |
28 |
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Duke 2024 Betting Info
The Blue Devils have won two games against the spread this season.
When it has played as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, Duke is 1-1 against the spread.
This season, games featuring the Blue Devils have gone over the point total twice.
The Blue Devils’ average point total in matchups this year is 45.3, 10.2 points less than the over/under in this game.
Duke Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
46.8 |
46.4 |
47.4 |
Implied Total AVG |
28.3 |
27.4 |
29.6 |
ATS Record |
7-5-0 |
5-2-0 |
2-3-0 |
Over/Under Record |
7-5-0 |
3-4-0 |
4-1-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
5-1 |
4-0 |
1-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
2-4 |
2-1 |
0-3 |
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Duke’s Offense vs. North Carolina’s Defense (2024)
The Blue Devils average 3.2 yards per carry (110th in college football) compared to the 3.1 per rushing attempt the Tar Heels give up (26th in the FBS).
North Carolina allows 106.8 rushing yards per game (38th in the FBS). Duke’s running game ranks 111th in college football (104.5).
The Blue Devils have a 32.7% third-down conversion rate, 107th in the FBS. The Tar Heels allow third-down conversions on 31.5% of their opponents’ attempts (35th).
North Carolina allows a score on 92.9% of its opponents’ red-zone trips (104th in college football), while Duke’s offensive red-zone percentage is 88.2% (57th).
North Carolina 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
246.0 (984) |
55 |
Rush yards |
221.8 (887) |
24 |
Points scored |
38.0 (152) |
15 |
Pass yards against |
238.3 (953) |
93 |
Rush yards against |
106.8 (427) |
38 |
Points allowed |
29.3 (117) |
99 |
North Carolina 2024 Betting Info
The Tar Heels have one win against the spread this season.
Duke is 1-1 against the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
Two Tar Heels games (out of four) have hit the over this season.
The average total the Blue Devils have had set in matchups this season is 10.2 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
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North Carolina Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
58.6 |
57.9 |
59.4 |
Implied Total AVG |
35.2 |
37.1 |
32.8 |
ATS Record |
6-7-0 |
4-3-0 |
2-4-0 |
Over/Under Record |
6-6-1 |
3-3-1 |
3-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
7-3 |
5-1 |
2-2 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-2 |
0-0 |
0-2 |
North Carolina’s Offense vs. Duke’s Defense (2024)
The Tar Heels average 7.8 yards per pass attempt (60th in the FBS) compared to the 4.2 per pass the Blue Devils give up (fourth in college football).
North Carolina averages 246.0 yards through the air per game (55th in the FBS). Duke ranks 14th, allowing 132.5 passing yards.
Duke vs. North Carolina Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Duke vs. North Carolina sees the Blue Devils (-115 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we prefer the over at 55.5 points.