The Liberty Flames (4-0) face the Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-2) on Saturday, September 28, 2024 at Kidd Brewer Stadium. The Flames are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 3.5 points. The over/under for the outing is 63 points.
Liberty vs. Appalachian State Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Flames (-3.5)
Moneyline: Flames (-166), Mountaineers (+140)
Total: 63 points
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How to Watch Liberty vs. Appalachian State
When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, North Carolina
TV: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
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Liberty 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
240.3 (961) |
59 |
Rush yards |
218.5 (874) |
25 |
Points scored |
33.5 (134) |
36 |
Pass yards against |
200 (800) |
64 |
Rush yards against |
115.3 (461) |
44 |
Points allowed |
20.5 (82) |
53 |
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Liberty 2024 Betting Info
The Flames have won one game against the spread this season.
When it has played as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, Liberty is 1-3 against the spread.
Flames games have gone over the point total twice this season.
The Flames’ average point total in matchups this season is 56.5, 6.5 points below the total in this game.
Liberty Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
56.5 |
57.3 |
54.0 |
Implied Total AVG |
40.0 |
40.7 |
38.0 |
ATS Record |
1-3-0 |
1-2-0 |
0-1-0 |
Over/Under Record |
2-1-1 |
2-1-0 |
0-0-1 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
3-0 |
2-0 |
1-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
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Liberty’s Offense vs. Appalachian State’s Defense (2024)
The Flames’ offense averages 0.5 points per play (26th in the FBS) compared to the 0.6 per play the Mountaineers’ defense gives up (126th in college football).
Liberty has the No. 22 yards-per-pass average in college football (9.1 per attempt). Appalachian State’s defense allows 8.7 per attempt (No. 120 in college football).
The Flames’ rushing game ranks 25th in the FBS (218.5 yards per game). The Mountaineers give up 213.3 rushing yards per game (121st).
Liberty has the 29th-ranked offense in the FBS in yards per game (458.8). They will be up against a Appalachian State defense ranked 124th, allowing 453.8 yards per game.
Appalachian State 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
307.5 (1230) |
19 |
Rush yards |
130.8 (523) |
100 |
Points scored |
23.3 (93) |
91 |
Pass yards against |
240.5 (962) |
97 |
Rush yards against |
213.3 (853) |
121 |
Points allowed |
35.8 (143) |
122 |
Appalachian State 2024 Betting Info
The Mountaineers have won once against the spread this year.
Liberty is 1-3 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
The Mountaineers have had one game (out of three) go over the total this season.
The average point total for Flames games this year is 6.5 less points than the over/under of 63 in this matchup.
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Appalachian State Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
54.0 |
53.6 |
54.3 |
Implied Total AVG |
31.7 |
32.0 |
31.4 |
ATS Record |
6-7-1 |
3-4-0 |
3-3-1 |
Over/Under Record |
7-7-0 |
4-3-0 |
3-4-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
7-2 |
6-1 |
1-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
2-3 |
0-0 |
2-3 |
Appalachian State’s Offense vs. Liberty’s Defense (2024)
The Mountaineers are 120th in the FBS in red-zone percentage (68.8%), and will be facing the Flames’ 45th-ranked red zone defense (78.6%).
The Mountaineers have a 0.3 point-per-play average (104th in the FBS), while the Flames give up 0.3 per play (31st in college football).
Appalachian State converts 37% of its third-down plays (88th in college football). Liberty’s defense gives up third-down conversions at a 30.4% clip (28th).
Liberty vs. Appalachian State Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Liberty vs. Appalachian State is the Flames (-166 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we prefer the under at 63 points.