The No. 1 Texas Longhorns (4-0) will face off against their SEC-rival, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3) in a matchup on Saturday, September 28, 2024 at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. The Bulldogs will need their best effort to pull off an upset, they are currently 37.5-point underdogs. An over/under of 59 points has been set for the outing.
Texas vs. Mississippi State Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Longhorns (-37.5)
Total: 59 points
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How to Watch Texas vs. Mississippi State
When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:15 p.m. ET
Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas
TV: SEC Network
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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Texas 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
321.5 (1286) |
10 |
Rush yards |
189.8 (759) |
46 |
Points scored |
47.5 (190) |
7 |
Pass yards against |
116 (464) |
8 |
Rush yards against |
95.8 (383) |
25 |
Points allowed |
5.5 (22) |
1 |
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Texas 2024 Betting Info
The Longhorns have won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover zero times.
Texas is a perfect 1-0 against the spread when favored by 37.5 points or more this season.
Longhorns games have gone over the point total twice this season.
The average point total in Longhorns games this year is 5.1 less points than the over/under of 59 in this matchup.
Texas Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
53.9 |
57.8 |
42.0 |
Implied Total AVG |
42.3 |
48.0 |
25.0 |
ATS Record |
4-0-0 |
3-0-0 |
1-0-0 |
Over/Under Record |
2-2-0 |
1-2-0 |
1-0-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
2-0 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
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Texas’ Offense vs. Mississippi State’s Defense (2024)
Texas is 16th in the FBS in third-down percentage (51%) and will be up against the 116th-ranked Mississippi State defense in that category (45.6%).
The Bulldogs’ defense ranks 110th in yards conceded per game (416.8), while the Longhorns’ offense is 12th in college football at 511.3 yards per game.
Texas has the 11th-ranked offense in the FBS (47.5 points per game), and will be up against Mississippi State’s 107th-ranked defense (30.8 ppg).
Mississippi State 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
268.5 (1074) |
36 |
Rush yards |
133.3 (533) |
97 |
Points scored |
31 (124) |
55 |
Pass yards against |
200 (800) |
64 |
Rush yards against |
216.8 (867) |
124 |
Points allowed |
30.8 (123) |
107 |
Mississippi State 2024 Betting Info
The Bulldogs have posted one win against the spread this year.
Texas is 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 37.5-point favorites.
There have been three Bulldogs games (out of four) that went over the total this season.
The average total the Longhorns have had set in matchups this year is 5.1 less points than this outing’s point total.
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Mississippi State Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
59.3 |
59.2 |
59.5 |
Implied Total AVG |
36.0 |
37.0 |
33.0 |
ATS Record |
1-3-0 |
1-2-0 |
0-1-0 |
Over/Under Record |
3-1-0 |
3-0-0 |
0-1-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
1-1 |
1-1 |
0-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-2 |
0-1 |
0-1 |
Mississippi State’s Offense vs. Texas’ Defense (2024)
The Bulldogs are 107th in the FBS in red-zone percentage (75%), and will be facing the Longhorns’ first-ranked red zone defense (50%).
Mississippi State has the 97th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (133.3 yards per game). It takes on Texas’ 25th-ranked rushing defense, which allows 95.8 on the ground.
The Bulldogs average 3.7 yards per carry (101st in college football) compared to the 3.2 per rushing attempt the Longhorns allow (35th in the FBS).
Mississippi State is 68th in college football, gaining 401.8 yards per game, while Texas ranks fifth in yards conceded (211.8).
Texas vs. Mississippi State Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Texas vs. Mississippi State is the Longhorns as the pick to win. As for the total, we pick the under at 59 points.