A pair of MWC teams square off when the UNLV Rebels (3-0) face off against the Fresno State Bulldogs (3-1) on Saturday, September 28, 2024 at Allegiant Stadium. The Rebels are favored by 2.5 points. The over/under is 50 in the contest.
UNLV vs. Fresno State Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Rebels (-2.5)
Moneyline: Rebels (-135), Bulldogs (+114)
Total: 50 points
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How to Watch UNLV vs. Fresno State
When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada
TV: Fox Sports 1
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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UNLV 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
130 (390) |
127 |
Rush yards |
293.3 (880) |
5 |
Points scored |
40.7 (122) |
59 |
Pass yards against |
196 (588) |
61 |
Rush yards against |
105.3 (316) |
34 |
Points allowed |
13.7 (41) |
22 |
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UNLV 2024 Betting Info
The Rebels have covered three times in three matchups with a spread this season.
UNLV is a perfect 1-0 against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
Rebels games have hit the over once this season.
The average total in Rebels games this year is 6.7 more points than the total of 50 in this game.
UNLV Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
56.0 |
58.4 |
53.3 |
Implied Total AVG |
32.3 |
32.0 |
32.7 |
ATS Record |
9-4-0 |
3-4-0 |
6-0-0 |
Over/Under Record |
9-4-0 |
5-2-0 |
4-2-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
5-1 |
3-1 |
2-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
3-4 |
1-2 |
2-2 |
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UNLV’s Offense vs. Fresno State’s Defense (2024)
The Rebels have a 34.1% third-down conversion rate, 99th in the FBS. The Bulldogs allow third-down conversions on 29.1% of their opponents’ attempts (16th).
The Rebels’ 130 passing yards per game ranks 127th in the FBS. The Bulldogs’ defense allows 218.5 through the air (78th in college football).
UNLV’s rushing game ranks fifth in the FBS (293.3 yards per game), while Fresno State allows 121.8 per game (50th-ranked run defense).
Fresno State 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
272.3 (1089) |
34 |
Rush yards |
134.5 (538) |
96 |
Points scored |
35.5 (142) |
28 |
Pass yards against |
218.5 (874) |
78 |
Rush yards against |
121.8 (487) |
50 |
Points allowed |
20.3 (81) |
48 |
Fresno State 2024 Betting Info
The Bulldogs are 3-0-0 against the spread this year.
UNLV is a perfect 1-0 against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
Not one of the Bulldogs’ three games has hit the over in 2024.
The average total the Rebels have had set in games this season is 6.7 more points than this outing’s point total.
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Fresno State Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
51.0 |
53.0 |
48.9 |
Implied Total AVG |
30.3 |
34.0 |
26.7 |
ATS Record |
5-7-0 |
3-3-0 |
2-4-0 |
Over/Under Record |
6-5-1 |
2-4-0 |
4-1-1 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
6-3 |
4-1 |
2-2 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
2-1 |
1-0 |
1-1 |
Fresno State’s Offense vs. UNLV’s Defense (2024)
The Bulldogs are 100th in the FBS in third-down percentage (34%), and will be up against the third-ranked Rebels third down defense (20%).
UNLV allows 105.3 rushing yards per game (34th in the FBS). Fresno State’s running game ranks 96th in college football (134.5).
The Bulldogs are 48th in the FBS in red-zone percentage (89.5%), and will be up against the Rebels’ seventh-ranked red zone defense (57.1%).
Fresno State averages 3.8 yards per carry (97th in college football) compared to the 3.8 per rushing attempt UNLV gives up (61st in the FBS).
UNLV vs. Fresno State Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for UNLV vs. Fresno State sees the Rebels (-135 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we pick the under at 50 points.