The SMU Mustangs (3-1) will meet a fellow ACC opponent, the Florida State Seminoles (1-3) in a matchup on Saturday, September 28, 2024 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The Mustangs are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 6.5 points. The over/under is set at 46 in the contest.
SMU vs. Florida State Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Mustangs (-6.5)
Moneyline: Mustangs (-205), Seminoles (+170)
Total: 46 points
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How to Watch SMU vs. Florida State
When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 8:00 p.m. ET
Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in University Park, Texas
TV: ACC Network
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
SMU 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
203.8 (815) |
92 |
Rush yards |
206 (824) |
28 |
Points scored |
42.3 (169) |
13 |
Pass yards against |
222.5 (890) |
80 |
Rush yards against |
95.3 (381) |
25 |
Points allowed |
22.8 (91) |
68 |
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SMU 2024 Betting Info
The Mustangs have won one game against the spread this season.
SMU has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 6.5 points or more this season (0-2).
Mustangs games have hit the over once this season.
The average total the Mustangs have had in their games this year is 10.7 more points than this particular game’s point total.
SMU Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
56.8 |
57.3 |
56.4 |
Implied Total AVG |
36.2 |
39.2 |
34.4 |
ATS Record |
7-6-0 |
4-1-0 |
3-5-0 |
Over/Under Record |
5-8-0 |
2-3-0 |
3-5-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
9-1 |
5-0 |
4-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-2 |
0-0 |
1-2 |
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SMU’s Offense vs. Florida State’s Defense (2024)
The Seminoles allow third-down conversions on 45.6% of their opponents’ attempts (115th in the FBS). The Mustangs have a 44.4% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 45th in college football.
SMU’s running game ranks 28th in the FBS (206 yards per game). Florida State allows 156.3 rushing yards per game (89th).
The Mustangs score on 82.4% of their red zone trips (84th in the FBS), and will be facing the Seminoles’ 39th-ranked defense in that category (76.5%).
Florida State 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
210.8 (843) |
88 |
Rush yards |
65.8 (263) |
131 |
Points scored |
15 (60) |
123 |
Pass yards against |
206.8 (827) |
70 |
Rush yards against |
156.3 (625) |
89 |
Points allowed |
20.3 (81) |
47 |
Florida State 2024 Betting Info
The Seminoles have posted one win against the spread this season.
SMU is winless against the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
The Seminoles and their opponent have yet to hit the over this season.
The Mustangs’ average total in matchups this year has been 56.7, 10.7 points higher than the total in this particular game.
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Florida State Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
51.0 |
50.9 |
51.0 |
Implied Total AVG |
33.2 |
33.3 |
33.2 |
ATS Record |
8-5-0 |
5-3-0 |
3-2-0 |
Over/Under Record |
7-6-0 |
5-3-0 |
2-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
10-0 |
5-0 |
5-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
2-1 |
2-1 |
0-0 |
Florida State’s Offense vs. SMU’s Defense (2024)
The Seminoles average 2.3 yards per carry (132nd in college football) compared to the 2.8 per rushing attempt the Mustangs allow (14th in the FBS).
Florida State’s 65.8 rushing yards per game is good for 131st in the FBS. SMU’s defense allows 95.3 on the ground (25th in college football).
The Seminoles are 126th in college football, racking up 276.5 yards per game, while the Mustangs rank 47th in yards allowed (317.8).
Florida State averages 0.3 points per play (101st in the FBS), while SMU allows 0.3 per play (29th in college football).
SMU vs. Florida State Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for SMU vs. Florida State sees the Mustangs (-205 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we recommend betting on the over at 46 points.