The Air Force Falcons (1-3) will look to upset the Navy Midshipmen (4-0) on Saturday, October 5, 2024 at Falcon Stadium. The Midshipmen are considerable favorites in this one, with the spread posted at 9.5 points. The over/under for the contest is 37.5 points.
Navy vs. Air Force Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Midshipmen (-9.5)
Moneyline: Midshipmen (-380), Falcons (+300)
Total: 37.5 points
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How to Watch Navy vs. Air Force
When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 12:00 p.m. ET
Location: Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs, Colorado
TV: CBS
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
Live Stream: Watch this game on Paramount+
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Navy 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
178.8 (715) |
107 |
Rush yards |
287.3 (1149) |
5 |
Points scored |
46 (184) |
20 |
Pass yards against |
267.5 (1070) |
117 |
Rush yards against |
158.3 (633) |
89 |
Points allowed |
23.5 (94) |
67 |
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Navy 2024 Betting Info
The Midshipmen have compiled a 3-1-0 ATS record so far this year.
In games it has played as at least 9.5-point favorites this season, Navy is 1-1 against the spread.
All of the Midshipmen’s games have hit the over this season.
The Midshipmen’s average point total in outings this season is 49.5, 12.0 points higher than the over/under in this game.
Navy Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
49.5 |
46.8 |
57.5 |
Implied Total AVG |
32.0 |
32.3 |
31.0 |
ATS Record |
3-1-0 |
2-1-0 |
1-0-0 |
Over/Under Record |
4-0-0 |
3-0-0 |
1-0-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
2-0 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-0 |
1-0 |
0-0 |
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Navy’s Offense vs. Air Force’s Defense (2024)
Navy’s passing attack averages 13.5 yards per pass attempt (first in the FBS). Air Force gives up 7.3 per pass (81st in college football).
The Midshipmen’s red-zone percentage is 100% (first in the FBS), while the Falcons allow a score on 84.6% of their opponents’ red-zone appearances (73rd in college football).
Navy ranks sixth with 6.2 yards per carry, compared to the 4.1 per rush Air Force allows (73rd in the FBS).
Air Force 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
66.3 (265) |
134 |
Rush yards |
176.8 (707) |
59 |
Points scored |
12.5 (50) |
133 |
Pass yards against |
200.3 (801) |
59 |
Rush yards against |
141.8 (567) |
71 |
Points allowed |
21.3 (85) |
49 |
Air Force 2024 Betting Info
The Falcons haven’t won a game against the spread this year.
Navy has a 1-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 9.5 points or more this season.
One Falcons game (out of four) has hit the over this season.
The average over/under the Midshipmen have had set in matchups this year is 12.0 more points than this outing’s point total.
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Air Force Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
42.7 |
42.2 |
43.4 |
Implied Total AVG |
26.6 |
25.7 |
27.8 |
ATS Record |
5-5-1 |
3-3-0 |
2-2-1 |
Over/Under Record |
7-4-0 |
5-1-0 |
2-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
7-3 |
4-2 |
3-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-1 |
0-0 |
0-1 |
Air Force’s Offense vs. Navy’s Defense (2024)
The Falcons have the 129th-ranked offense in the FBS in terms of points per play (0.2), and will be facing the 25th-ranked defense in that category, owned by the Midshipmen (0.3).
Air Force averages 4.8 yards per pass attempt (133rd in the FBS) compared to the 6.9 per pass Navy gives up (66th in college football).
The Falcons’ offense ranks 133rd in the FBS at 12.5 points per game. They will be facing the Midshipmen’s defense which gives up 23.5 per game (67th in college football).
Navy vs. Air Force Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Navy vs. Air Force sees the Midshipmen (-380 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we recommend betting on the over at 37.5 points.