The No. 7 Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0) will face off against their Big Ten-rival, the UCLA Bruins (1-3) in a matchup on Saturday, October 5, 2024 at Beaver Stadium. The Bruins will need their best effort to pull off an upset, they are currently 28-point underdogs. An over/under of 47 points has been set for the contest.
Penn State vs. UCLA Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Nittany Lions (-28)
Moneyline: Nittany Lions (-9091), Bruins (+2500)
Total: 47 points
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How to Watch Penn State vs. UCLA
When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 12:00 p.m. ET
Location: Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pennsylvania
TV: FOX
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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Penn State 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
245.8 (983) |
53 |
Rush yards |
251 (1004) |
9 |
Points scored |
36.3 (145) |
56 |
Pass yards against |
154.5 (618) |
14 |
Rush yards against |
72.3 (289) |
6 |
Points allowed |
11.5 (46) |
7 |
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Penn State 2024 Betting Info
The Nittany Lions have a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
In games it has played as at least 28-point favorites this season, Penn State is 1-1 against the spread.
Nittany Lions games have hit the over just once this season.
The average over/under the Nittany Lions have had set in games this season is 4.8 more points than this outing’s point total.
Penn State Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
51.8 |
52.3 |
50.0 |
Implied Total AVG |
39.8 |
43.3 |
29.0 |
ATS Record |
2-2-0 |
1-2-0 |
1-0-0 |
Over/Under Record |
1-3-0 |
1-2-0 |
0-1-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
2-0 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
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Penn State’s Offense vs. UCLA’s Defense (2024)
The Bruins give up third-down conversions on 57.1% of their opponents’ attempts (134th in the FBS). The Nittany Lions have a 51.2% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 13th in college football.
Penn State’s offense ranks 11th in the FBS in yards per game (496.8), while UCLA ranks 99th in yards allowed (398.3).
UCLA 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
205 (820) |
89 |
Rush yards |
57 (228) |
133 |
Points scored |
14.8 (59) |
132 |
Pass yards against |
291 (1164) |
127 |
Rush yards against |
107.3 (429) |
34 |
Points allowed |
30.8 (123) |
103 |
UCLA 2024 Betting Info
The Bruins have won twice against the spread this year.
Penn State has a 1-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 28 points or more this season.
One Bruins game (out of four) has hit the over this year.
The average point total in Nittany Lions games this year is 4.8 more points than the total of 47 in this matchup.
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UCLA Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
53.8 |
56.3 |
52.1 |
Implied Total AVG |
31.4 |
33.8 |
29.7 |
ATS Record |
5-7-0 |
1-4-0 |
4-3-0 |
Over/Under Record |
2-10-0 |
0-5-0 |
2-5-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
6-3 |
3-2 |
3-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-2 |
0-0 |
1-2 |
UCLA’s Offense vs. Penn State’s Defense (2024)
The matchups don’t favor the Bruins offense in this game as they have the No. 133 rushing attack in the FBS (57 yards per game), and will be facing the No. 6 defense in that category. The Nittany Lions allow 72.3 yards per game on the ground.
UCLA averages 2.5 yards per carry (129th in college football) compared to the 2.3 per rushing attempt Penn State allows (fourth in the FBS).
The Bruins have the 127th-ranked offense in the FBS in terms of yards per game (262), and will be facing a top-10 defense in that category, the No. 4 ranked Nittany Lions (226.8).
UCLA scores 14.8 points per game (128th in the FBS), and will be up against a Penn State defense which ranks seventh in college football (allowing 11.5 ppg).
Penn State vs. UCLA Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Penn State vs. UCLA is the Nittany Lions (-9091 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we prefer the under at 47 points.