The UCF Knights (3-1) square off against the Florida Gators (2-2) on Saturday, October 5, 2024 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. The line predicts a close game, with the Knights favored by 1 point. The over/under in this outing is 62.5 points.
UCF vs. Florida Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Knights (-1)
Moneyline: Knights (-115), Gators (-105)
Total: 62.5 points
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How to Watch UCF vs. Florida
When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 7:45 p.m. ET
Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida
TV: SEC Network
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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UCF 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
217.3 (869) |
80 |
Rush yards |
326.0 (1304) |
2 |
Points scored |
39.5 (158) |
41 |
Pass yards against |
251.5 (1006) |
107 |
Rush yards against |
80.0 (320) |
10 |
Points allowed |
24.8 (99) |
76 |
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UCF 2024 Betting Info
The Knights have put together a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
When it has played as at least 1-point favorites this season, UCF is 2-1 against the spread.
Knights games have hit the over three out of four times this season.
The average point total for Knights games this year is 3.5 fewer points than the total of 62.5 in this matchup.
UCF Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
59.7 |
59.1 |
60.4 |
Implied Total AVG |
35.2 |
36.9 |
33.2 |
ATS Record |
5-8-0 |
3-4-0 |
2-4-0 |
Over/Under Record |
6-7-0 |
4-3-0 |
2-4-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
5-4 |
3-3 |
2-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-3 |
1-0 |
0-3 |
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UCF’s Offense vs. Florida’s Defense (2024)
The Knights’ running game ranks second in the FBS (326.0 yards per game). The Gators give up 188.8 rushing yards per game (110th).
UCF has one of the best offenses in the FBS in yards per game (No. 4 at 543.3 YPG), and will be up against the 112th-ranked Florida defense (425.5 ypg allowed).
The Gators allow third-down conversions on 46.6% of their opponents’ attempts (120th in the FBS). The Knights have a 50.0% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 18th in college football.
UCF averages 9.1 yards per pass attempt (18th in the FBS), and Florida allows 7.9 per pass (105th in college football).
Florida 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
278.5 (1114) |
30 |
Rush yards |
145.8 (583) |
83 |
Points scored |
31.8 (127) |
79 |
Pass yards against |
236.8 (947) |
97 |
Rush yards against |
188.8 (755) |
110 |
Points allowed |
27.3 (109) |
91 |
Florida 2024 Betting Info
The Gators have posted one win against the spread this year.
When it has played as at least 1-point favorites this season, UCF is 2-1 against the spread.
There have been three Gators games (out of four) that hit the over this season.
The Knights’ average point total in matchups this season is 59.0, 3.5 points less than the total in this game.
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Florida Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
51.5 |
50.6 |
52.5 |
Implied Total AVG |
30.5 |
31.7 |
29.2 |
ATS Record |
4-7-0 |
2-4-0 |
2-3-0 |
Over/Under Record |
7-4-0 |
3-3-0 |
4-1-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
2-1 |
2-1 |
0-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-6 |
1-2 |
0-4 |
Florida’s Offense vs. UCF’s Defense (2024)
Florida averages 278.5 passing yards per game (30th in the FBS) compared to the 251.5 per game UCF allows (107th in college football).
The Knights allow 80.0 rushing yards per game (10th in the FBS). The Gators’ rushing game ranks 83rd in college football (145.8).
Florida averages 10.0 yards per pass attempt (seventh in the FBS), and UCF allows 7.2 per pass (76th in college football).
UCF vs. Florida Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for UCF vs. Florida sees the Gators (-105 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we pick the over at 62.5 points.