The Toledo Rockets (4-1) will play a fellow MAC opponent, the Buffalo Bulls (3-2) in a matchup on Saturday, October 12, 2024 at UB Stadium. The Bulls are significant underdogs in this one, with the spread posted at 10.5 points. The over/under is 45 in the outing.
Toledo vs. Buffalo Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Rockets (-10.5)
Moneyline: Rockets (-395), Bulls (+310)
Total: 45 points
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How to Watch Toledo vs. Buffalo
When: Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: UB Stadium in Buffalo, New York
TV: ESPNU
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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Toledo 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
251.4 (1257) |
48 |
Rush yards |
124.4 (622) |
102 |
Points scored |
35.8 (179) |
37 |
Pass yards against |
255.4 (1277) |
109 |
Rush yards against |
87.8 (439) |
11 |
Points allowed |
19.2 (96) |
34 |
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Toledo 2024 Betting Info
The Rockets have won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover twice.
In games it has played as at least 10.5-point favorites this season, Toledo is 1-1 against the spread.
In the Rockets’ five games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total four times.
The Rockets’ average total in matchups this season has been 53.3, 8.3 points higher than the total in this particular game.
The Rockets have covered the spread twice in their past three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
Toledo Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
49.1 |
49.1 |
49.1 |
Implied Total AVG |
30.5 |
31.7 |
29.6 |
ATS Record |
6-7-0 |
2-4-0 |
4-3-0 |
Over/Under Record |
6-7-0 |
3-3-0 |
3-4-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
10-1 |
5-1 |
5-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-2 |
0-0 |
0-2 |
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Toledo’s Offense vs. Buffalo’s Defense (2024)
Toledo scores on 78.6% of their red-zone trips (99th in the FBS), and will be facing Buffalo’s 44th-ranked defense in that category (78.9%).
The Rockets’ 25th-ranked scoring offense averages 35.8 points per game. The Bulls have the 73rd-ranked scoring defense (24.2 ppg).
Toledo is 36th in the FBS in third-down percentage (45.6%) and will be facing the 79th-ranked Buffalo defense in that category (39.5%).
Buffalo 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
133 (665) |
128 |
Rush yards |
120.6 (603) |
107 |
Points scored |
18 (90) |
125 |
Pass yards against |
207.6 (1038) |
59 |
Rush yards against |
158.4 (792) |
86 |
Points allowed |
24.2 (121) |
73 |
Buffalo 2024 Betting Info
The Bulls have two wins against the spread this season.
In games it has played as at least 10.5-point favorites this season, Toledo is 1-1 against the spread.
The Bulls have had one game (out of four) hit the over this season.
The average total the Rockets have had in their games this season is 8.3 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The Rockets are 2-1 against the spread in their past three games, and have a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.
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Buffalo Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
46.3 |
45.5 |
46.5 |
Implied Total AVG |
30.0 |
25.0 |
31.7 |
ATS Record |
2-2-0 |
1-0-0 |
1-2-0 |
Over/Under Record |
1-2-1 |
0-1-0 |
1-1-1 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
1-0 |
1-0 |
0-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-1 |
0-0 |
1-1 |
Buffalo’s Offense vs. Toledo’s Defense (2024)
The Bulls are 111th in the FBS in yards per rush (3.4), and will be up against the No. 7 defense in that category, as the Rockets allow 2.8 yards per rush attempt.
Buffalo’s 120.6 rushing yards per game is good for 107th in the FBS. Toledo’s defense allows 87.8 on the ground (11th in college football).
The Rockets have the 34th-ranked scoring defense (19.2 points per game). The Bulls’ 122nd-ranked scoring offense puts up 18 points per game.
Buffalo has a 0.3 point-per-play average (103rd in the FBS), and Toledo allows 0.3 per play (17th in college football).
Toledo vs. Buffalo Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Toledo vs. Buffalo sees the Rockets (-395 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we recommend betting on the over at 45 points.