A matchup of Big Ten teams features the No. 24 Michigan Wolverines (4-2) squaring off against the No. 22 Illinois Fighting Illini (5-1) on Saturday, October 19, 2024 at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL). The Wolverines are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 5 points. An over/under of 45 points has been set for the outing.
Michigan vs. Illinois Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Wolverines (-5)
Moneyline: Wolverines (-205), Fighting Illini (+170)
Total: 45 points
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How to Watch Michigan vs. Illinois
When: Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) in Champaign, Illinois
TV: CBS
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
Live Stream: Watch this game on Paramount+
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Michigan 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
115.0 (690) |
132 |
Rush yards |
191.3 (1148) |
40 |
Points scored |
23.5 (141) |
103 |
Pass yards against |
259.8 (1559) |
111 |
Rush yards against |
76.3 (458) |
2 |
Points allowed |
22.3 (134) |
55 |
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Michigan 2024 Betting Info
The Wolverines have a record of just 1-5-0 against the spread this season.
Michigan has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 5 points or more this season (0-3).
So far this season, four out of the Wolverines’ six games have hit the over.
The average point total for Wolverines games this year is 2.7 fewer points than the over/under of 45 in this matchup.
The Wolverines are 1-2 against the spread over their last three games, and have a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.
Two times in those three games, the final combined score has surpassed the set total.
The past three Fighting Illini games averaged 1.2 more points (46.2) than this matchup’s over/under.
Michigan Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
47.8 |
50.4 |
43.9 |
Implied Total AVG |
34.7 |
37.2 |
30.8 |
ATS Record |
9-5-1 |
4-4-1 |
5-1-0 |
Over/Under Record |
8-7-0 |
4-5-0 |
4-2-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
15-0 |
9-0 |
6-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
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Michigan’s Offense vs. Illinois’ Defense (2024)
The Fighting Illini allow a score on 95.0% of their opponents’ red zone trips (124th in college football), while the Wolverines’ offensive red-zone percentage is 100.0% (first).
Michigan averages 115.0 passing yards per game (132nd in the FBS). It will be up against takes on the Fighting Illini’s defense which ranks 44th, giving up 197.3 yards per game through the air.
The Wolverines average 5.2 yards per pass attempt (133rd in the FBS) compared to the 6.8 per pass the Fighting Illini allow (53rd in college football).
Illinois 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
242.5 (1455) |
57 |
Rush yards |
139.5 (837) |
88 |
Points scored |
31.0 (186) |
54 |
Pass yards against |
197.3 (1184) |
44 |
Rush yards against |
150.5 (903) |
77 |
Points allowed |
20.0 (120) |
31 |
Illinois 2024 Betting Info
The Fighting Illini’s record against the spread is 3-2-0.
Michigan has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 5 points or more this season (0-3).
Two Fighting Illini games (out of five) have hit the over this year.
The average over/under the Wolverines have had set in games this year is 2.7 less points than this outing’s point total.
The Wolverines have covered the spread once in their last three contests while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
Illinois and its opponents have combined to hit the over twice in those games.
The past three Fighting Illini games averaged 1.2 more points (46.2) than this matchup’s over/under.
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Illinois Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
49.4 |
52.0 |
45.5 |
Implied Total AVG |
32.6 |
34.3 |
30.0 |
ATS Record |
3-2-0 |
1-2-0 |
2-0-0 |
Over/Under Record |
2-3-0 |
1-2-0 |
1-1-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
2-0 |
2-0 |
0-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
2-1 |
1-0 |
1-1 |
Illinois’ Offense vs. Michigan’s Defense (2024)
Illinois has the 88th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (139.5 yards per game). It faces Michigan’s second-ranked rushing defense, which gives up 76.3 on the ground.
The Fighting Illini rank 88th in the FBS averaging 3.9 yards per carry. The Wolverines allow 2.9 per rushing attempt (eighth in college football).
Illinois’ red-zone percentage is 96.0% (ninth in the FBS), while Michigan allows a score on 82.6% of its opponents’ red-zone trips (63rd in college football).
Michigan vs. Illinois Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Michigan vs. Illinois is the Wolverines (-205 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we prefer the over at 45 points.