The Paul Bunyan Trophy is at stake when the Michigan Wolverines (4-3) and Michigan State Spartans (4-3) square off on Saturday, October 26, 2024 at Michigan Stadium. The Wolverines are 3.5-point favorites. The over/under in this contest is 39 points.
Michigan vs. Michigan State Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Wolverines (-3.5)
Moneyline: Wolverines (-155), Spartans (+130)
Total: 39 points
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How to Watch Michigan vs. Michigan State
When: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan
TV: BTN
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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Michigan 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
128.3 (898) |
130 |
Rush yards |
180.3 (1262) |
47 |
Points scored |
21.1 (148) |
109 |
Pass yards against |
234.1 (1639) |
96 |
Rush yards against |
92.1 (645) |
7 |
Points allowed |
22.1 (155) |
51 |
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Michigan 2024 Betting Info
The Wolverines have covered just once in seven chances against the spread this season.
Michigan is winless against the spread (0-4) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
The Wolverines and their opponent have combined to go over the point total four out of seven times this season.
The average total the Wolverines have had in their matchups this season is 3.7 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The Wolverines are winless against the spread over their last three games, and have a 1-2 straight-up record in those matchups.
One time in those three games, the final combined score exceeded the set total.
The past three Spartans games averaged 7.7 more points (46.7) than this matchup’s over/under.
Michigan Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
42.7 |
42.8 |
42.5 |
Implied Total AVG |
26.4 |
28.2 |
22.0 |
ATS Record |
1-6-0 |
1-4-0 |
0-2-0 |
Over/Under Record |
4-3-0 |
3-2-0 |
1-1-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
3-1 |
3-0 |
0-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-2 |
1-1 |
0-1 |
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Michigan’s Offense vs. Michigan State’s Defense (2024)
The Wolverines average 128.3 yards through the air per game (130th in the FBS). The Spartans rank 31st, giving up 192.0 passing yards.
Michigan has a 0.3 point-per-play average (101st in the FBS), and Michigan State gives up 0.3 per play (11th in college football).
The Wolverines are 118th in college football, gaining 308.6 yards per game, while the Spartans rank 29th in yards allowed (323.6).
Michigan’s offense ranks 112th in the FBS at 21.1 points per game. It will be up against Michigan State’s defense which gives up 20.9 per game (38th in college football).
Michigan State 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
233.4 (1634) |
67 |
Rush yards |
134.6 (942) |
90 |
Points scored |
21.6 (151) |
108 |
Pass yards against |
192.0 (1344) |
31 |
Rush yards against |
131.6 (921) |
52 |
Points allowed |
20.9 (146) |
38 |
Michigan State 2024 Betting Info
Against the spread, the Spartans are 4-3-0 this season.
Michigan has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 3.5 points or more this season (0-4).
Two Spartans games (out of seven) have hit the over this season.
The average over/under the Wolverines have had in their matchups this year is 3.7 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The Wolverines have not covered a spread (0-3) while going 1-2 overall in their last three matchups.
One time in those three games, the final combined score surpassed the set total.
The past three Spartans games averaged 7.7 more points (46.7) than this matchup’s point total.
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Michigan State Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
44.5 |
45.9 |
42.4 |
Implied Total AVG |
29.6 |
31.3 |
27.2 |
ATS Record |
6-6-0 |
3-4-0 |
3-2-0 |
Over/Under Record |
5-7-0 |
3-4-0 |
2-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
1-0 |
1-0 |
0-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
2-8 |
1-4 |
1-4 |
Michigan State’s Offense vs. Michigan’s Defense (2024)
The Spartans have a 0.3 point-per-play average (101st in the FBS), and the Wolverines give up 0.3 per play (11th in college football).
Michigan State has the 90th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (134.6 yards per game). It takes on Michigan’s seventh-ranked rushing defense, which gives up 92.1 on the ground.
The Spartans rank 81st in the FBS averaging 4.1 yards per carry. The Wolverines give up 3.3 per rushing attempt (17th in college football).
Michigan allows opponents to score on 81.5% of their red-zone appearances (58th in college football). Michigan State’s offense has a 73.1% red-zone percentage (121st).
Michigan vs. Michigan State Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Michigan vs. Michigan State is the Wolverines (-155 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we recommend betting on the over at 39 points.