A pair of the country’s strongest defenses clash when the No. 3 Penn State Nittany Lions (6-0) carry college football’s ninth-ranked scoring D into a game against the Wisconsin Badgers (5-2), who have the No. 18 defense, on Saturday, October 26, 2024. The Nittany Lions are 6-point favorites. The over/under is 48 in the contest.
Penn State vs. Wisconsin Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Nittany Lions (-6)
Moneyline: Nittany Lions (-238), Badgers (+195)
Total: 48 points
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How to Watch Penn State vs. Wisconsin
When: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wisconsin
TV: NBC
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
Live Stream: Watch this game on Peacock
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Penn State 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
270.0 (1620) |
29 |
Rush yards |
201.2 (1207) |
25 |
Points scored |
34.2 (205) |
70 |
Pass yards against |
167.5 (1005) |
15 |
Rush yards against |
95.2 (571) |
10 |
Points allowed |
14.5 (87) |
9 |
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Penn State 2024 Betting Info
The Nittany Lions have a record of 2-4-0 against the spread this season.
Penn State is 2-3 against the spread when favored by 6 points or more this season.
So far this season, two Nittany Lions games have hit the over.
The average total in Nittany Lions games this season is 3.2 more points than the total of 48 in this game.
The Nittany Lions are winless against the spread (0-3) and 3-0 overall in their past three matchups.
Wisconsin and its opponents have hit the over in two of those games.
The past three Badgers games averaged 4.5 fewer points (43.5) than this matchup’s over/under.
Penn State Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
46.5 |
46.5 |
46.6 |
Implied Total AVG |
32.3 |
33.3 |
30.8 |
ATS Record |
8-4-0 |
4-3-0 |
4-1-0 |
Over/Under Record |
6-6-0 |
4-3-0 |
2-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
9-1 |
5-1 |
4-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-2 |
0-1 |
0-1 |
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Penn State’s Offense vs. Wisconsin’s Defense (2024)
The Nittany Lions rank 27th with 5.2 yards per carry, compared to the 4.4 per rush the Badgers allow (88th in the FBS).
Penn State is 19th in the FBS in red-zone offense (92.9%), and will be facing the 64th-ranked red-zone defense, owned by Wisconsin (82.4%).
Wisconsin 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
212.6 (1488) |
83 |
Rush yards |
194.0 (1358) |
35 |
Points scored |
29.0 (203) |
71 |
Pass yards against |
155.9 (1091) |
7 |
Rush yards against |
139.9 (979) |
61 |
Points allowed |
17.6 (123) |
18 |
Wisconsin 2024 Betting Info
The Badgers have three wins in seven contests against the spread this year.
Penn State has a 2-3 record against the spread when favored by 6 points or more this season.
There have been four Badgers games (out of seven) that went over the total this year.
The average total for Nittany Lions games this year is 3.2 more points than the total of 48 in this game.
The Nittany Lions have not covered a spread (0-3) while going 3-0 overall during their past three games.
The final combined score of the past three Wisconsin games has exceeded the set total two times.
The Badgers’ past three outings have ended with an average of 43.5 points scored. That’s 4.5 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
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Wisconsin Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
47.4 |
48.8 |
45.5 |
Implied Total AVG |
30.6 |
33.0 |
27.3 |
ATS Record |
3-4-0 |
1-3-0 |
2-1-0 |
Over/Under Record |
4-3-0 |
2-2-0 |
2-1-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
4-0 |
3-0 |
1-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-2 |
0-1 |
1-1 |
Wisconsin’s Offense vs. Penn State’s Defense (2024)
The Badgers’ 212.6 passing yards per game ranks 83rd in the FBS. The Nittany Lions’ defense gives up 167.5 through the air (15th in college football).
Wisconsin’s offense averages 7.3 yards per pass attempt (69th in the FBS). Penn State’s defense allows 5.9 yards per passing play (10th in college football).
The Nittany Lions have the ninth-ranked scoring defense (14.5 points per game). The Badgers’ 65th-ranked scoring offense puts up 29.0 points per game.
Wisconsin has a 0.4 point-per-play average (57th in the FBS), and Penn State gives up 0.2 per play (second in college football).
Penn State vs. Wisconsin Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Penn State vs. Wisconsin sees the Badgers (+195 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we prefer the over at 48 points.