A pair of ACC teams meet when the Virginia Cavaliers (4-3) take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (3-4) on Saturday, October 26, 2024 at Scott Stadium. The Cavaliers are favored by 3 points. The over/under is 59 in the contest.
Virginia vs. North Carolina Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Cavaliers (-3)
Moneyline: Cavaliers (-162), Tar Heels (+136)
Total: 59 points
Best Virginia vs. North Carolina Promo Code
How to Watch Virginia vs. North Carolina
When: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Virginia
TV: The CW
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
More College Football Predictions
Virginia Tech vs. Georgia Tech Predictions
Wake Forest vs. Stanford Predictions
Miami (FL) vs. Florida State Predictions
SMU vs. Duke Predictions
Virginia 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
262.7 (1839) |
36 |
Rush yards |
159.6 (1117) |
64 |
Points scored |
28.0 (196) |
77 |
Pass yards against |
272.6 (1908) |
124 |
Rush yards against |
133.4 (934) |
53 |
Points allowed |
25.7 (180) |
78 |
Watch NCAA football on ESPN+
Virginia 2024 Betting Info
The Cavaliers have won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover twice.
Virginia is a perfect 2-0 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.
Cavaliers games have gone over the point total three out of seven times this season.
The Cavaliers’ average point total in outings this year is 54.3, 4.7 points below the over/under in this game.
The Cavaliers have covered the spread in each of their last three games while going 1-2 overall.
In one of those three games, the final combined score surpassed the set total.
The last three Tar Heels games averaged 60.2 total points, 1.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Virginia Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
49.8 |
47.6 |
51.9 |
Implied Total AVG |
30.8 |
26.3 |
35.3 |
ATS Record |
8-4-0 |
4-2-0 |
4-2-0 |
Over/Under Record |
8-3-1 |
4-2-0 |
4-1-1 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
1-1 |
1-1 |
0-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
2-8 |
1-3 |
1-5 |
Watch college football, live sports and entertainment on Fubo! Get started with a free trial today.
Virginia’s Offense vs. North Carolina’s Defense (2024)
The Cavaliers are 105th in the FBS in third-down percentage (35.8%), and will be up against the 34th-ranked Tar Heels third down defense (33.7%).
Virginia’s passing attack averages 7.8 yards per pass attempt (46th in the FBS). North Carolina allows 8.1 per pass (111th in college football).
The 262.7 passing yards per game the Cavaliers average ranks them 36th in the FBS, while the 239.6 the Tar Heels allow ranks them 99th in college football.
North Carolina 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
245.7 (1720) |
54 |
Rush yards |
198.7 (1391) |
30 |
Points scored |
32.9 (230) |
37 |
Pass yards against |
239.6 (1677) |
99 |
Rush yards against |
160.3 (1122) |
88 |
Points allowed |
30.4 (213) |
107 |
North Carolina 2024 Betting Info
The Tar Heels have won once against the spread this year.
Virginia is a perfect 2-0 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.
Out of seven Tar Heels games so far this year, three have gone over the total.
The average over/under the Cavaliers have had set in matchups this season is 4.7 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The Cavaliers are a perfect 3-0 against the spread in their past three games, and have a 1-2 straight-up record in those contests.
The final combined score of the past three North Carolina games went over the set total once.
The Tar Heels’ past three outings have ended with an average of 60.2 points scored. That’s 1.2 more points than this contest’s over/under.
Head to Vivid Seats to secure tickets for NCAA football, other live sporting events, concerts and much more!
North Carolina Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
58.6 |
57.9 |
59.4 |
Implied Total AVG |
35.2 |
37.1 |
32.8 |
ATS Record |
6-7-0 |
4-3-0 |
2-4-0 |
Over/Under Record |
6-6-1 |
3-3-1 |
3-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
7-3 |
5-1 |
2-2 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-2 |
0-0 |
0-2 |
North Carolina’s Offense vs. Virginia’s Defense (2024)
The Tar Heels’ offense ranks 28th in the FBS in yards per game (444.4), while the Cavaliers rank 109th in yards allowed (406.0).
Virginia’s defense allows 272.6 yards through the air per game (124th in the FBS). North Carolina’s 245.7 passing yards per game is 54th in college football.
The Tar Heels are 59th in the FBS in red zone offense (85.7%), and will be up against the 106th-ranked red zone defense, owned by the Cavaliers (89.7%).
North Carolina averages 0.5 points per play (19th in the FBS) compared to the 0.4 per play Virginia allows (61st in college football).
Virginia vs. North Carolina Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Virginia vs. North Carolina sees the Cavaliers (-162 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we recommend betting on the over at 59 points.