The No. 22 SMU Mustangs (6-1) bring the eighth-ranked scoring offense in college football into a clash with the Duke Blue Devils (6-1), boasting the No. 16 scoring defense, on Saturday, October 26, 2024. The Mustangs are massive, 11-point favorites. The over/under is set at 50 in the outing.
SMU vs. Duke Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Mustangs (-11)
Moneyline: Mustangs (-441), Blue Devils (+340)
Total: 50 points
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How to Watch SMU vs. Duke
When: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 8 p.m. ET
Location: Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium in Wilmington, North Carolina
TV: ACC Network
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
SMU 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
240.3 (1682) |
57 |
Rush yards |
199.6 (1397) |
26 |
Points scored |
40.7 (285) |
12 |
Pass yards against |
230.6 (1614) |
91 |
Rush yards against |
87.0 (609) |
4 |
Points allowed |
20.6 (144) |
33 |
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SMU 2024 Betting Info
The Mustangs have compiled a 4-2-0 record against the spread this season.
In games it has played as at least 11-point favorites this season, SMU is 1-2 against the spread.
A total of three out of six Mustangs games this season have hit the over.
The average total the Mustangs have had set in games this season is 3.9 more points than this outing’s point total.
The Mustangs are a perfect 3-0 against the spread in their last three games, and have a 3-0 straight-up record in those contests.
In all three of those games, the final combined score was under the set total.
The Blue Devils’ last three outings have ended with an average of 50.7 points scored. That’s 0.7 more points than this contest’s over/under.
SMU Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
56.8 |
57.3 |
56.4 |
Implied Total AVG |
36.2 |
39.2 |
34.4 |
ATS Record |
7-6-0 |
4-1-0 |
3-5-0 |
Over/Under Record |
5-8-0 |
2-3-0 |
3-5-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
9-1 |
5-0 |
4-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-2 |
0-0 |
1-2 |
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SMU’s Offense vs. Duke’s Defense (2024)
The Mustangs’ running game ranks 26th in the FBS (199.6 yards per game). The Blue Devils give up 152.7 rushing yards per game (79th).
SMU averages 240.3 passing yards per game (57th in the FBS). It will be facing the Blue Devils’ defense which ranks sixth, giving up 153.9 yards per game through the air.
The Mustangs’ red-zone percentage is 85.7% (58th in the FBS), while the Blue Devils allow a score on 88.2% of their opponents’ red-zone appearances (99th in college football).
Duke 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
215.3 (1507) |
78 |
Rush yards |
112.4 (787) |
115 |
Points scored |
25.9 (181) |
91 |
Pass yards against |
153.9 (1077) |
6 |
Rush yards against |
152.7 (1069) |
79 |
Points allowed |
17.3 (121) |
16 |
Duke 2024 Betting Info
The Blue Devils’ record against the spread is 5-1-0.
SMU is 1-2 against the spread when favored by 11 points or more this season.
Two of the Blue Devils’ six games in 2024 have hit the over.
The average total in Mustangs games this season is 3.9 more points than the total of 50 in this game.
The Mustangs have covered the spread in their last three matchups while putting up a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
The final combined score of each of the last three Duke games fell short of the set point total.
The past three Blue Devils games averaged 0.7 more points (50.7) than this matchup’s point total.
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Duke Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
48.0 |
49.0 |
47.0 |
Implied Total AVG |
28.0 |
27.3 |
28.7 |
ATS Record |
5-1-0 |
2-1-0 |
3-0-0 |
Over/Under Record |
2-4-0 |
0-3-0 |
2-1-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
3-0 |
2-0 |
1-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
2-1 |
1-0 |
1-1 |
Duke’s Offense vs. SMU’s Defense (2024)
The Blue Devils convert 26.8% of their third-down plays (130th in college football). The Mustangs’ defense gives up third-down conversions at a 30.6% clip (17th).
SMU allows 87.0 rushing yards per game (fourth in the FBS). Duke’s running game ranks 115th in college football (112.4).
The Blue Devils rank 106th in the FBS averaging 3.5 yards per carry. The Mustangs allow 2.6 per rushing attempt (fourth in college football).
Duke averages 327.7 yards per game to rank 111th in the FBS. They will be up against a SMU defense ranked 24th, allowing 317.6 yards per game.
SMU vs. Duke Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for SMU vs. Duke is the Mustangs (-441 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we pick the over at 50 points.