The No. 15 Boise State Broncos (6-1) will face off against their MWC-rival, the San Diego State Aztecs (3-4) in a matchup on Friday, November 1, 2024 at Albertsons Stadium. The Aztecs will need their best effort to pull off an upset, they are currently 25-point underdogs. The over/under for the contest is 56 points.
Boise State vs. San Diego State Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Broncos (-25)
Moneyline: Broncos (-2778), Aztecs (+1300)
Total: 56 points
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How to Watch Boise State vs. San Diego State
When: Friday, November 1, 2024 at 8 p.m. ET
Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho
TV: Fox Sports 1
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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Boise State 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
229.7 (1608) |
65 |
Rush yards |
274.9 (1924) |
2 |
Points scored |
44.3 (310) |
8 |
Pass yards against |
262.4 (1837) |
115 |
Rush yards against |
117.4 (822) |
32 |
Points allowed |
25.9 (181) |
79 |
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Boise State 2024 Betting Info
The Broncos have put together a 4-2-0 record against the spread this season.
Boise State is 1-0 against the spread so far when playing as at least 25-point favorites.
In the Broncos’ six games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total four times.
The average point total in Broncos games this season is 6.8 more points than the over/under of 56 in this matchup.
The Broncos have covered the spread twice in their last three matchups while putting up a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
San Diego State and its opponents have combined to hit the over twice in those games.
The last three Aztecs games averaged 49.0 total points, 7.0 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
Boise State Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
55.3 |
52.6 |
57.6 |
Implied Total AVG |
31.5 |
31.3 |
31.7 |
ATS Record |
6-5-2 |
4-1-1 |
2-4-1 |
Over/Under Record |
9-4-0 |
3-3-0 |
6-1-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
7-1 |
4-0 |
3-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-5 |
0-2 |
0-3 |
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Boise State’s Offense vs. San Diego State’s Defense (2024)
The Aztecs allow a score on 89.5% of their opponents’ red zone appearances (106th in college football), while the Broncos’ offensive red-zone percentage is 93.9% (eighth).
San Diego State gives up third-down conversions on 42.1% of its opponents’ attempts (102nd in the FBS). Boise State has a 48.9% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 13th in college football.
The Broncos’ rushing game ranks second in the FBS (274.9 yards per game). The Aztecs give up 159.6 rushing yards per game (86th).
Boise State’s offense ranks fourth in the FBS in yards per game (504.6), while San Diego State ranks 77th in yards allowed (374.7).
San Diego State 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
213.6 (1495) |
81 |
Rush yards |
126.4 (885) |
103 |
Points scored |
22.3 (156) |
115 |
Pass yards against |
215.1 (1506) |
63 |
Rush yards against |
159.6 (1117) |
86 |
Points allowed |
23.6 (165) |
65 |
San Diego State 2024 Betting Info
The Aztecs have covered the spread four times in six games.
When it has played as at least 25-point favorites this season, Boise State is 1-0 against the spread.
The Aztecs have played two games (out of six) which finished over the total this season.
The average total the Broncos have had set in matchups this season is 6.8 more points than this outing’s point total.
The Broncos are 2-1 against the spread and 3-0 overall during their last three matchups.
In two of those three games, the final combined score has surpassed the set total.
The past three Aztecs games averaged 7.0 fewer points (49.0) than this matchup’s over/under.
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San Diego State Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
48.5 |
49.4 |
47.5 |
Implied Total AVG |
28.9 |
28.0 |
30.0 |
ATS Record |
7-4-0 |
3-3-0 |
4-1-0 |
Over/Under Record |
4-6-1 |
2-3-1 |
2-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
2-1 |
1-1 |
1-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-7 |
1-3 |
0-4 |
San Diego State’s Offense vs. Boise State’s Defense (2024)
The Aztecs average 3.6 yards per carry (106th in college football) compared to the 3.4 per rushing attempt the Broncos allow (20th in the FBS).
San Diego State scores on 76.2% of their red-zone trips (110th in the FBS), and will be facing Boise State’s 32nd-ranked defense in that category (76.9%).
Boise State vs. San Diego State Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Boise State vs. San Diego State sees the Broncos (-2778 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we recommend betting on the over at 56 points.