A matchup of Big Ten teams features the Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-3) taking on the No. 24 Illinois Fighting Illini (6-2) on Saturday, November 2, 2024 at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL). The Golden Gophers are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 3 points. The over/under in this contest is 46 points.
Minnesota vs. Illinois Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Golden Gophers (-3)
Moneyline: Golden Gophers (-155), Fighting Illini (+130)
Total: 46 points
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How to Watch Minnesota vs. Illinois
When: Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) in Champaign, Illinois
TV: Fox Sports 1
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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Minnesota 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
226.4 (1811) |
71 |
Rush yards |
108 (864) |
120 |
Points scored |
27.9 (223) |
63 |
Pass yards against |
162.5 (1300) |
7 |
Rush yards against |
120.4 (963) |
36 |
Points allowed |
16.8 (134) |
12 |
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Minnesota 2024 Betting Info
The Golden Gophers have won six games against the spread this season, while failing to cover twice.
Minnesota is 4-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
Golden Gophers games have gone over the point total three out of eight times this season.
The average total the Golden Gophers have had set in matchups this season is 2.7 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The Golden Gophers have covered the spread in their last three contests while putting up a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
In one of those three games, the final combined score went over the set total.
The past three Fighting Illini games averaged 2.8 more points (48.8) than this matchup’s point total.
Minnesota Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
44.8 |
45.1 |
44.2 |
Implied Total AVG |
27.2 |
26.9 |
27.6 |
ATS Record |
4-9-0 |
3-5-0 |
1-4-0 |
Over/Under Record |
6-7-0 |
4-4-0 |
2-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
5-3 |
5-1 |
0-2 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-4 |
0-2 |
1-2 |
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Minnesota’s Offense vs. Illinois’ Defense (2024)
The Fighting Illini give up third-down conversions on 45% of their opponents’ attempts (116th in the FBS). The Golden Gophers have a 47% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 17th in college football.
The Fighting Illini allow 155.8 rushing yards per game (80th in the FBS). The Golden Gophers’ running game ranks 120th in college football (108).
Minnesota is 108th in college football, gaining 334.4 yards per game, while Illinois ranks 70th in yards conceded (367).
Illinois 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
212 (1696) |
81 |
Rush yards |
144.5 (1156) |
81 |
Points scored |
27 (216) |
75 |
Pass yards against |
211.3 (1690) |
53 |
Rush yards against |
155.8 (1246) |
80 |
Points allowed |
20.6 (165) |
34 |
Illinois 2024 Betting Info
The Fighting Illini are 4-3-0 against the spread this season.
Minnesota is 4-0 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.
Two of the Fighting Illini’s seven games in 2024 have gone over the point total.
The average over/under the Golden Gophers have had set in games this season is 2.7 less points than this outing’s point total.
The Golden Gophers have covered the spread in their past three contests while putting up a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
Once in those three games, the final combined score went over the set total.
The past three Fighting Illini games averaged 2.8 more points (48.8) than this matchup’s over/under.
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Illinois Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
45.9 |
44.5 |
47.8 |
Implied Total AVG |
26.3 |
26.4 |
26.0 |
ATS Record |
3-9-0 |
0-7-0 |
3-2-0 |
Over/Under Record |
6-5-1 |
4-3-0 |
2-2-1 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
3-2 |
3-2 |
0-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
2-5 |
0-2 |
2-3 |
Illinois’ Offense vs. Minnesota’s Defense (2024)
The Fighting Illini are 95th in college football, racking up 356.5 yards per game, while the Golden Gophers rank ninth in yards allowed (282.9).
Illinois’ red-zone percentage is 87.9% (46th in the FBS), while Minnesota allows a score on 94.1% of its opponents’ red-zone appearances (126th in college football).
The Fighting Illini average 212 passing yards per game (81st in the FBS). They play the Golden Gophers’ defense which ranks seventh, giving up 162.5 yards per game through the air.
Minnesota has the 12th-ranked scoring defense (16.8 points per game). Illinois’ 78th-ranked scoring offense puts up 27 points per game.
Minnesota vs. Illinois Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Minnesota vs. Illinois is the Golden Gophers (-155 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we prefer the over at 46 points.