The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-7) square off against the UMass Minutemen (2-6) on Saturday, November 2, 2024 at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. The Bulldogs are undoubtedly the favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 19 points. The over/under in this outing is 60.5 points.
Mississippi State vs. UMass Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Bulldogs (-19)
Moneyline: Bulldogs (-1205), Minutemen (+750)
Total: 60.5 points
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How to Watch Mississippi State vs. UMass
When: Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 4:15 p.m. ET
Location: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Starkville, Mississippi
TV: SEC Network
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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Mississippi State 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
259.4 (2075) |
42 |
Rush yards |
131.1 (1049) |
94 |
Points scored |
27.1 (217) |
72 |
Pass yards against |
264.3 (2114) |
116 |
Rush yards against |
213.3 (1706) |
123 |
Points allowed |
36.4 (291) |
125 |
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Mississippi State 2024 Betting Info
The Bulldogs have put together a 4-4-0 record against the spread this season.
When it has played as at least 19-point favorites this season, Mississippi State is 1-0 against the spread.
A total of six out of eight Bulldogs games this season have hit the over.
The Bulldogs’ average point total in matchups this year is 57.6, 2.9 points below the over/under in this game.
The Bulldogs have covered the spread twice in their past three contests while putting up a 0-3 record straight-up in those games.
UMass and its opponents have combined to hit the over in one of those games.
The Minutemen’s past three outings have ended with an average of 48.0 points scored. That’s 12.5 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
Mississippi State Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
57.6 |
57.7 |
57.5 |
Implied Total AVG |
38.3 |
36.2 |
41.7 |
ATS Record |
4-4-0 |
2-3-0 |
2-1-0 |
Over/Under Record |
6-2-0 |
5-0-0 |
1-2-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
1-1 |
1-1 |
0-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-5 |
0-3 |
0-2 |
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Mississippi State’s Offense vs. UMass’ Defense (2024)
The Minutemen give up 0.5 points per play (104th in college football), while the Bulldogs accumulate 0.4 per play (51st in the FBS).
Mississippi State ranks 34th in the FBS at 8.1 yards per pass attempt. UMass allows 7.5 yards per passing play (85th in college football).
The Bulldogs are 68th in the FBS in third-down percentage (39.8%) and will be facing the 112th-ranked Minutemen defense in that category (44.3%).
UMass 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
193.9 (1551) |
99 |
Rush yards |
136.3 (1090) |
90 |
Points scored |
19.1 (153) |
119 |
Pass yards against |
157.5 (1260) |
6 |
Rush yards against |
170.5 (1364) |
100 |
Points allowed |
30 (240) |
103 |
UMass 2024 Betting Info
The Minutemen’s record against the spread is 4-4-0.
Mississippi State is 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 19-point favorites.
The Minutemen have played eight games this year, and three of them have gone over the total.
The average total the Bulldogs have had set in games this season is 2.9 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The Bulldogs are 2-1 against the spread and 0-3 overall over their past three games.
UMass and its opponents have combined to hit the over in one of those games.
The last three Minutemen games averaged 48.0 total points, 12.5 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
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UMass Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
52.3 |
52.0 |
52.6 |
Implied Total AVG |
33.6 |
30.2 |
37.0 |
ATS Record |
5-7-0 |
1-5-0 |
4-2-0 |
Over/Under Record |
8-4-0 |
4-2-0 |
4-2-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
1-3 |
1-3 |
0-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
2-6 |
0-2 |
2-4 |
UMass’ Offense vs. Mississippi State’s Defense (2024)
UMass’ rushing game ranks 90th in the FBS (136.3 yards per game). Mississippi State gives up 213.3 rushing yards per game (123rd).
The Minutemen’s passing attack averages 6.9 yards per pass attempt (93rd in the FBS). The Bulldogs allow 8.6 per pass (123rd in college football).
UMass is 96th in the FBS in third-down percentage (37.3%) and will be up against the 122nd-ranked Mississippi State defense in that category (45.9%).
Mississippi State vs. UMass Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for Mississippi State vs. UMass sees the Bulldogs (-1205 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we pick the under at 60.5 points.