The North Carolina Tar Heels (4-4) will face off against their ACC-rival, the Florida State Seminoles (1-7) in a matchup on Saturday, November 2, 2024 at Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium. The betting information foretells a close game, with the Tar Heels favored by 2.5 points. The over/under in this contest is 50.5 points.
North Carolina vs. Florida State Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Tar Heels (-2.5)
Moneyline: Tar Heels (-142), Seminoles (+120)
Total: 50.5 points
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How to Watch North Carolina vs. Florida State
When: Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Florida
TV: ACC Network
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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North Carolina 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
251.6 (2013) |
47 |
Rush yards |
190.8 (1526) |
34 |
Points scored |
33.9 (271) |
29 |
Pass yards against |
244.8 (1958) |
106 |
Rush yards against |
141.1 (1129) |
62 |
Points allowed |
28.4 (227) |
95 |
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North Carolina 2024 Betting Info
The Tar Heels have won just two games against the spread this season.
North Carolina is winless against the spread (0-3) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
Tar Heels games have gone over the point total three out of eight times this season.
The average point total for Tar Heels games this season is 5.1 more points than the over/under of 50.5 in this matchup.
The Tar Heels have covered the spread once in their last three matchups while putting together a 1-2 record straight-up in those games.
The final combined score of each of the last three Florida State games did not go over the set point total.
The last three Seminoles games averaged 48.5 total points, 2.0 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
North Carolina Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
55.6 |
55.5 |
55.8 |
Implied Total AVG |
33.1 |
35.4 |
29.3 |
ATS Record |
2-6-0 |
0-5-0 |
2-1-0 |
Over/Under Record |
3-5-0 |
3-2-0 |
0-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
2-2 |
1-1 |
1-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-2 |
0-2 |
1-0 |
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North Carolina’s Offense vs. Florida State’s Defense (2024)
North Carolina has the 34th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (190.8 yards per game), and will be up against the 105th-ranked defense in that category, as Florida State allows 179.3 per game.
The Tar Heels have the 26th-ranked offense in the FBS in yards per game (442.4). They will be facing a Seminoles defense ranked 81st, allowing 379.4 yards per game.
North Carolina has the 28th-ranked offense in the FBS (33.9 points per game), and will be facing Florida State’s 82nd-ranked defense (26.4 ppg).
Florida State 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
192.1 (1537) |
102 |
Rush yards |
80.4 (643) |
131 |
Points scored |
14.9 (119) |
131 |
Pass yards against |
200.1 (1601) |
41 |
Rush yards against |
179.3 (1434) |
105 |
Points allowed |
26.4 (211) |
82 |
Florida State 2024 Betting Info
The Seminoles have two wins against the spread this season.
North Carolina is winless against the spread (0-3) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
The Seminoles have had one game (out of eight) go over the total this season.
The average total the Tar Heels have had in their games this year is 5.1 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The Tar Heels are 1-2 against the spread in their last three games, and have a 1-2 straight-up record in those contests.
The final combined score of each of the last three Florida State games did not go over the set point total.
The last three Seminoles games averaged 48.5 total points, 2.0 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
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Florida State Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
49.7 |
49.5 |
49.9 |
Implied Total AVG |
30.1 |
30.3 |
30.0 |
ATS Record |
2-6-0 |
2-2-0 |
0-4-0 |
Over/Under Record |
1-7-0 |
0-4-0 |
1-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
1-3 |
1-2 |
0-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
0-4 |
0-1 |
0-3 |
Florida State’s Offense vs. North Carolina’s Defense (2024)
Florida State has a 26.4% third-down conversion rate, 132nd in the FBS. North Carolina allows third-down conversions on 34.2% of its opponents’ attempts (39th).
The Seminoles average 2.8 yards per carry (128th in college football) compared to the 3.9 per attempt the Tar Heels give up (48th in the FBS).
Florida State has a 0.2 point-per-play average (131st in the FBS), while North Carolina allows 0.4 per play (60th in college football).
North Carolina vs. Florida State Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for North Carolina vs. Florida State is the Tar Heels (-142 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we pick the over at 50.5 points.