The No. 20 SMU Mustangs (7-1), with college football’s 12th-ranked scoring offense, take on the No. 18 Pittsburgh Panthers (7-0) and their seventh-ranked offense on Saturday, November 2, 2024. The Mustangs are 7-point favorites. The over/under in this contest is 56.5 points.
SMU vs. Pittsburgh Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread favorite: Mustangs (-7)
Moneyline: Mustangs (-270), Panthers (+220)
Total: 56.5 points
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How to Watch SMU vs. Pittsburgh
When: Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 8 p.m. ET
Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in University Park, Texas
TV: ACC Network
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
SMU 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
242.5 (1940) |
56 |
Rush yards |
201.0 (1608) |
25 |
Points scored |
39.1 (313) |
8 |
Pass yards against |
238.6 (1909) |
98 |
Rush yards against |
88.4 (707) |
4 |
Points allowed |
21.4 (171) |
38 |
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SMU 2024 Betting Info
The Mustangs have covered four times in seven games with a spread this season.
SMU has a 1-3 record against the spread when favored by 7 points or more this season.
In the Mustangs’ seven games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total four times.
The average point total in Mustangs games this year is 3.1 fewer points than the over/under of 56.5 in this matchup.
The Mustangs have covered the spread twice in their past three matchups while putting up a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
In all of those games, the final combined score fell short of the set total.
The last three Panthers games averaged 61.3 total points, 4.8 more points than this matchup’s point total.
SMU Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
53.4 |
53.5 |
53.3 |
Implied Total AVG |
32.4 |
29.7 |
34.5 |
ATS Record |
4-3-0 |
2-1-0 |
2-2-0 |
Over/Under Record |
4-3-0 |
2-1-0 |
2-2-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
4-1 |
1-1 |
3-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
2-0 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
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SMU’s Offense vs. Pittsburgh’s Defense (2024)
SMU scores on 81.3% of their red-zone trips (90th in the FBS), and will be facing Pittsburgh’s 22nd-ranked defense in that category (75.0%).
The 242.5 passing yards per game the Mustangs average ranks them 56th in the FBS, while the 255.6 the Panthers give up ranks them 112th in college football.
SMU ranks 53rd in the FBS averaging 4.7 yards per carry. Pittsburgh allows 2.5 per rushing attempt (third in college football).
Pittsburgh 2024 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
282.7 (1979) |
25 |
Rush yards |
159.4 (1116) |
64 |
Points scored |
40.9 (286) |
22 |
Pass yards against |
255.6 (1789) |
112 |
Rush yards against |
93.9 (657) |
6 |
Points allowed |
22.0 (154) |
44 |
Pittsburgh 2024 Betting Info
Against the spread, the Panthers are 6-1-0 this year.
In games it has played as at least 7-point favorites this season, SMU is 1-3 against the spread.
The Panthers have played seven games this year, and three of them have hit the over.
The Mustangs’ average point total in matchups this season is 53.4, 3.1 points below the total in this game.
The Mustangs are 2-1 against the spread over their last three games, and have a 3-0 straight-up record in those matchups.
The final combined score of each of the past three Pittsburgh games did not go over the set point total.
The last three Panthers games averaged 61.3 total points, 4.8 more points than this matchup’s point total.
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Pittsburgh Home/Away Splits (2024)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
61.0 |
59.9 |
63.8 |
Implied Total AVG |
35.1 |
36.0 |
33.0 |
ATS Record |
6-1-0 |
4-1-0 |
2-0-0 |
Over/Under Record |
3-4-0 |
3-2-0 |
0-2-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
5-0 |
4-0 |
1-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
2-0 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
Pittsburgh’s Offense vs. SMU’s Defense (2024)
The Mustangs’ defense allows 238.6 yards through the air per game (98th in the FBS). The Panthers’ 282.7 passing yards per game is 25th in college football.
Pittsburgh’s 159.4 rushing yards per game is good for 64th in the FBS. SMU’s defense gives up 88.4 on the ground (fourth in college football).
The Panthers are 85th in the FBS in third-down percentage (38.3%), and will be up against the 31st-ranked Mustangs third down defense (33.3%).
SMU allows a score on 83.3% of its opponents’ red-zone appearances (69th in college football), while Pittsburgh’s offensive red-zone percentage is 92.3% (19th).
SMU vs. Pittsburgh Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for SMU vs. Pittsburgh is the Mustangs (-270 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we pick the over at 56.5 points.