NEWSLETTER
The Boston Celtics (18-4) will look to Jayson Tatum (sixth in the league scoring 28.4 points per game) when they try to hold off Giannis Antetokounmpo (first in the NBA with 32.6 PPG) and the Milwaukee Bucks (11-10) on Friday, December 6, 2024 at TD Garden. The Celtics are 8-point home favorites in the game, which tips at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN, NBCS-BOS, and FDSWI. The over/under in the matchup is set at 228.5.
Celtics vs. Bucks Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Celtics vs. Bucks?
Celtics and Bucks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season they were favored by 8 points or more, the Celtics have a 6-8-1 record against the spread.
The Bucks have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 8 points or more this season (0-1).
The two teams average a combined 5.6 more points per game, 234.1, than this matchup’s total of 228.5 points.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 5.8 fewer points per game (222.7) than this game’s total of 228.5 points.
The Celtics’ average point total in matchups this season is 228.3, 0.2 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average total in Milwaukee’s games this season is 6.2 fewer points than the point total of 228.5 in this outing.
Boston has a 9-12-1 record against the spread this season.
The Bucks’ ATS record is 8-12-1 this year.
Celtics Stats & Insights
The Celtics average 120.5 points per game (third in the league) while giving up 110.2 per contest (eighth in the NBA). They have a +226 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 10.3 points per game.
The Celtics are 14th in the NBA at 43.9 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 43.3 their opponents average.
Boston hits 19.1 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 6.6 more than its opponents (12.5). It is shooting 37.6% from beyond the arc (eighth-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.3%.
The Celtics rank third in the league by averaging 118.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are ninth in the NBA, allowing 108.3 points per 100 possessions.
The Celtics’ offense has been much worse when playing at home (118.5 PPG) compared to away games (122.5 PPG). However, their defense has been better in home games (109.5 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (111 PPG allowed).
Bucks Stats & Insights
The Bucks put up 113.6 points per game (12th in league) while allowing 112.5 per outing (14th in NBA). They have a +23 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 1.1 points per game.
Milwaukee pulls down 43.1 rebounds per game (20th in league) while allowing 45.5 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.4 boards per game.
The Bucks hit 14.6 three-pointers per game (10th in the league) at a 39.1% rate (third-best in NBA), compared to the 13.8 their opponents make, shooting 36.3% from deep.
The Bucks rank 10th in the league averaging 112.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 13th, allowing 110.5 points per 100 possessions.
At home Milwaukee is scoring 116.3 points per game, 6.4 more than it is averaging on the road (109.9).
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Celtics Key Players to Watch
The Celtics get 28.4 points, 8.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists from Tatum.
The Celtics get 3.8 three-pointers per game out of Payton Pritchard.
Tatum averages 1.3 steals per game, while Derrick White has one block per contest.
Bucks Key Players to Watch
Antetokounmpo holds the top Bucks spot in two categories among active players: scoring (32.6 points per game) and rebounding (11.6 rebounds per game). He also has 6.6 assists per contest.
Damian Lillard’s per-game averages this season are 25.9 points, 7.5 assists and 4.4 rebounds.
Lillard knocks down 3.5 threes per game.
Brook Lopez is a solid defensive option with 1.2 steals and 2.4 blocks per game.
Celtics vs. Bucks Prediction
Under (228.5)
Celtics 120 – Bucks 108
