The Virginia Cavaliers (8-8, 1-4 ACC) are 6-point underdogs as they look to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the SMU Mustangs (12-4, 3-2 ACC) on Wednesday, January 15, 2025 at John Paul Jones Arena. The game airs at 9:00 PM ET on ACC Network. The matchup has an over/under of 135.5 points.
SMU vs. Virginia Odds
SMU vs. Virginia Promo Codes
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win SMU vs. Virginia?
SMU and Virginia Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
SMU is 6-4 against the spread when favored by 6 points or more this season.
Virginia is 0-5 against the spread when an underdog by 6 points or greater this season.
The two teams average a combined 10.8 more points per game (146.3) than this matchup’s over/under of 135.5 points.
SMU and Virginia have seen its opponents average a combined 1.1 more points per game than the point total of 135.5 set in this outing.
The average point total in SMU’s games this season is 21.8 more points than the total of 135.5 in this matchup.
The average over/under for Cavaliers games this season is 9.9 fewer points than the point total of 135.5 for this outing.
The Mustangs are 8-8-0 ATS this season.
The Cavaliers have a 5-11-0 record against the spread this season.
SMU Stats & Insights
SMU is outscoring opponents by 12.1 points per game with a +193 scoring differential overall. It puts up 84.7 points per game (17th in college basketball) and allows 72.6 per contest (223rd in college basketball).
SMU wins the rebound battle by 7.6 boards on average. It records 36.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 27th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 28.8 per outing.
The Mustangs knock down 8.2 three-pointers per game (143rd in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 8.3. They shoot 38.2% from deep while their opponents hit 35.7% from long range.
SMU averages 103.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (48th in college basketball), and allows 88.4 points per 100 possessions (107th in college basketball).
Virginia Stats & Insights
Virginia has a -39 scoring differential, falling short by 2.4 points per game. It is putting up 61.6 points per game, 360th in college basketball, and is allowing 64 per contest to rank 25th in college basketball.
Virginia comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 3.1 boards. It collects 27.9 rebounds per game (347th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.
Virginia hits 7.9 three-pointers per game (168th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.8 on average.
Virginia’s 90.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 292nd in college basketball, and the 94.1 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 249th in college basketball.
At home the Cavaliers are scoring 63.6 points per game, 2.1 more than they are averaging away (61.5).
SMU Key Players to Watch
The leader in points and assists for the Mustangs is Kevin Miller, who scores 14.6 points and dishes out 5.9 assists per game.
SMU’s best rebounder is Matt Cross, who averages 8.3 boards per game in addition to a PPG average of 10.9.
Chuck Harris makes more threes per game than any other member of the Mustangs, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.1 per contest.
B.J. Edwards and Jerrell Colbert lead SMU on the defensive end, with Edwards leading the team in steals averaging 2.4 per game and Colbert in blocks averaging 1.2 per contest.
Virginia Key Players to Watch
Isaac McKneely is at the top of the Cavaliers scoring leaderboard with 12.3 points per game. McKneely also collects 3.6 rebounds and dishes out 2.9 assists per game.
Jacob Cofie puts up a stat line of 5.5 rebounds, 8.3 points and 1.3 assists per game for Virginia to take the top rebound spot on the team. Andrew Rohde has the top spot for assists with 3.5 per game, adding 9.1 points and 2.2 rebounds per contest.
McKneely is the top scorer from deep for the Cavaliers, hitting 2.9 threes per game.
Rohde (1.1 steals per game) is the steal leader for Virginia while Cofie (1.1 blocks per game) is the block leader.
SMU vs. Virginia Prediction
SMU 74, Virginia 68
How to Bet on SMU vs. Virginia
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