Samford vs. East Tennessee State SoCon Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Monday, March 11, 2024

The SoCon conference champion will be crowned and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket will be awarded on Monday when the No. 1 seed Samford Bulldogs (28-5, 15-3 SoCon) and the No. 7 East Tennessee State Buccaneers (19-15, 8-10 SoCon) face off at 7:00 PM ET, live on ESPN2. Samford is listed as a 9.5-point favorite to claim the title. The point total in the matchup is set at 145.

Samford vs. East Tennessee State Odds

  • Samford odds to win: -521
  • East Tennessee State odds to win: +386
  • Spread: Samford (-9.5)
  • Total: 145
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Monday, March 11, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Where: Asheville, North Carolina
  • Venue: Harrah’s Cherokee Center Asheville
  • Who Will Win Samford vs. East Tennessee State?

    Samford and East Tennessee State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    Samford is 5-8 against the spread when favored by 9.5 points or more this season.

    East Tennessee State has a 1-3 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 9.5 points or more this year.

    The Bulldogs and the Buccaneers combine to average 12.9 more points per game than the over/under of 145 set for this matchup.

    Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 143.5 points per game, 1.5 fewer than the over/under in this game.

    The average total Samford has had in its games this year is 15.4 more points than this particular game’s point total.

    The average over/under in Buccaneers games this season is 4.1 fewer points than the point total of 145 in this outing.

    The Bulldogs have gone 18-14-0 ATS this season.

    The Buccaneers are 18-14-0 against the spread this season.

    Samford Stats & Insights

    Samford has a +402 scoring differential, topping opponents by 12.2 points per game. It is putting up 86.3 points per game to rank fifth in college basketball and is giving up 74.1 per contest to rank 249th in college basketball.

    The 36.1 rebounds per game Samford averages rank 135th in the country. Its opponents record 35.5 per outing.

    The Bulldogs knock down 1.9 more threes per contest than the opposition, 10.0 (14th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 8.1.

    Samford averages 104.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (23rd in college basketball), and gives up 89.4 points per 100 possessions (85th in college basketball).

    The Bulldogs are putting up 94.9 points per game this season at home, which is 19.1 more points than they’re averaging away from home (75.8).

    East Tennessee State Stats & Insights

    East Tennessee State’s +74 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 2.2 points per game) is a result of putting up 71.6 points per game (239th in college basketball) while allowing 69.4 per contest (99th in college basketball).

    East Tennessee State records 38.5 rebounds per game (49th in college basketball) while allowing 36.0 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.5 boards per game.

    East Tennessee State connects on 7.8 three-pointers per game (140th in college basketball) at a 31.2% rate (314th in college basketball), compared to the 7.1 its opponents make, shooting 32.8% from beyond the arc.

    East Tennessee State ranks 270th in college basketball averaging 91.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 55th, allowing 88.3 points per 100 possessions.

    At home, the Buccaneers score 72.4 points per game. On the road, they average 67.6.

    Samford Key Players to Watch

    Achor Achor leads the Bulldogs in scoring and rebounding, accumulating 15.5 points and 6.0 boards per game.

    Rylan Jones is Samford’s best passer, distributing 4.7 assists per game while scoring 9.5 PPG.

    The Bulldogs get the most three-point shooting production out of Jones, who knocks down 1.7 threes per game.

    A.J. Staton-McCray is Samford’s leader in steals, averaging 1.6 steals per game, while Achor leads them in blocks with 1.8 per contest.

    East Tennessee State Key Players to Watch

    Ebby Asamoah scores 15.6 points per game and is the top scorer for the Buccaneers.

    Karon Boyd has a stat line of 6.7 rebounds, 6.6 points and 1.4 assists per game for East Tennessee State to take the top rebound spot on the team. Quimari Peterson holds the top spot for assists with 3.8 per game, adding 13.4 points and 4.5 rebounds per matchup.

    Asamoah makes 3.0 three-pointers per game, the most on the Buccaneers.

    East Tennessee State’s leader in steals is Peterson with 1.7 per game, and its leader in blocks is Jadyn Parker with 2.1 per game.

    Samford vs. East Tennessee State Prediction

  • Pick ATS: East Tennessee State (+9.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (145)
  • Prediction:
    Samford 80, East Tennessee State 71
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    How to Bet on Samford vs. East Tennessee State

    And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

    written by

    Luis Escalante is a seasoned expert in NBA betting and Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. With over a decade of experience in sports analytics and a strong background in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting, Luis has become a well-respected and trusted authority in the industry. His extensive knowledge of data analysis and sports betting strategies has helped countless individuals make informed decisions and gain an edge in the competitive world of betting. Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014, Luis is committed to providing the highest quality insights and advice.

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