Auburn vs. UMass Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – September 2, 2023

The UMass Minutemen (1-0) will look to upset the Auburn Tigers (0-0) on Saturday, September 2, 2023 at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The Tigers are heavy favorites in this one, with the line sitting at 35 points. The over/under in this outing is 51.5 points.

Auburn vs. UMass Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread Favorite: Tigers (-35)
  • Moneyline: Tigers (), Minutemen ()
  • Total: 51.5 points
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    How to Watch Auburn vs. UMass

  • When: Saturday, September 2, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
  • Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama
  • TV: ESPN
  • Tigers 2022 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 172.7 (2072) 119
    Rush yards 205.8 (2470) 17
    Points scored 24.8 (297) 91
    Pass yards against 221.8 (2661) 59
    Rush yards against 173.5 (2082) 98
    Points allowed 29.5 (354) 97

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    Auburn 2022 Betting Info

  • The Tigers covered five times in 12 games with a spread last season.
  • Tigers games went over the point total eight out of 12 times last season.
  • The average over/under the Tigers had set in games last year was 0.5 less points than this outing’s point total.
  • Tigers Home/Away Splits (2022)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 51 50.9 51.4
    Implied Total AVG 32.3 30.6 35.8
    ATS Record 5-6-1 3-5-0 2-1-1
    Over/Under Record 8-4-0 4-4-0 4-0-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 5-0 5-0 0-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-7 0-3 0-4

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    Auburn’s Offense vs. UMass’ Defense (2022)

  • The Tigers averaged 172.7 passing yards per game last season (119th in the FBS). They face the Minutemen’s defense which was ranked 10th, giving up 175.3 yards per game through the air.
  • Auburn had the 17th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS last year (205.8 yards per game), and will look to exploit last season’s No. 114 defense in that category, as UMass allowed 193.6 per game on the ground.
  • The Tigers were highly ranked in terms of yards per carry last year (22nd, at 5.1), and will have a favorable matchup against the 117th-ranked defense in that category, as the Minutemen allowed five.
  • Auburn was 97th in the FBS in third-down percentage a year ago (36%), and will be facing the 13th-ranked UMass third-down defense from last season (30.9%).
  • Minutemen 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 192 (192) 25
    Rush yards 197 (197) 12
    Points scored 41 (41) 8
    Pass yards against 248 (248) 25
    Rush yards against 222 (222) 34
    Points allowed 30 (30) 27

    UMass 2023 Betting Info

  • The Minutemen have posted one win against the spread this year.
  • One of the Minutemen’s one games has hit the over.
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    Minutemen Home/Away Splits (2022)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 47 44.4 48.8
    Implied Total AVG 32.5 28.4 35.4
    ATS Record 5-7-0 2-3-0 3-4-0
    Over/Under Record 4-8-0 2-3-0 2-5-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-10 0-4 0-6

    UMass’ Offense vs. Auburn’s Defense (2022)

  • The Minutemen averaged 5.1 yards per pass attempt last season (130th in the FBS) compared to the 6.5 per pass the Tigers allowed (24th in college football).
  • UMass averaged 116.9 yards through the air per game a season ago (126th in the FBS). Auburn ranked 59th, giving up 221.8 passing yards.
  • The Minutemen were 129th in college football, gaining 267.3 yards per game last season, while the Tigers were 80th in yards allowed (395.3).
  • UMass’ offense was 131st in the FBS at 12.5 points per game last season. It will be up against Auburn’s defense which allowed 29.5 per game (97th in college football).
  • Auburn vs. UMass Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for Auburn vs. UMass is the Tigers ( on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we recommend betting on the under at 51.5 points.

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    For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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