Appalachian State vs. East Carolina Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – September 16, 2023

Matt Rooney

Sep 16, 2023

The East Carolina Pirates (0-2) will look to upset the Appalachian State Mountaineers (1-1) on Saturday, September 16, 2023 at Kidd Brewer Stadium. The Mountaineers are considerable favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 8 points. The over/under is set at 47.5 in the outing.

Appalachian State vs. East Carolina Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread Favorite: Mountaineers (-8)

Moneyline: Mountaineers (-305), Pirates (+245)

Total: 47.5 points

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How to Watch Appalachian State vs. East Carolina

When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Location: Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, North Carolina

TV: ESPN+

Mountaineers 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	259.5 (519)	55
Rush yards	184.5 (369)	46
Points scored	39.5 (79)	36
Pass yards against	219.5 (439)	72
Rush yards against	226.5 (453)	123
Points allowed	32 (64)	108

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Appalachian State 2023 Betting Info

The Mountaineers have covered once in two chances against the spread this season.

Appalachian State is 0-1 against the spread when favored by 8 points or more this season.

All of the Mountaineers’ games have hit the over this season.

The average total the Mountaineers have had in their matchups this year is 7.3 more points than this particular game’s point total.

Mountaineers Home/Away Splits (2022)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	56.3	55.5	57.4
Implied Total AVG	36	37.7	33.6
ATS Record	3-9-0	2-5-0	1-4-0
Over/Under Record	6-6-0	3-4-0	3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	4-6	4-2	0-4
Moneyline Underdog Record	1-0	0-0	1-0

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Appalachian State’s Offense vs. East Carolina’s Defense (2023)

The Mountaineers have the 30th-ranked offense in the FBS (39.5 points per game), and will be facing the Pirates’ 102nd-ranked defense (30.5 ppg).

Appalachian State has the 43rd-ranked offense in the FBS in yards per game (444). They face a East Carolina defense ranked 97th, allowing 397 yards per game.

Pirates 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	127.5 (255)	126
Rush yards	124.5 (249)	97
Points scored	8 (16)	129
Pass yards against	270.5 (541)	103
Rush yards against	126.5 (253)	72
Points allowed	30.5 (61)	102

East Carolina 2023 Betting Info

The Pirates have one win against the spread this year.

Appalachian State is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 8-point favorites.

One Pirates game (out of two) has gone over the point total this season.

The average point total for Mountaineers games this year is 7.3 more points than the over/under of 47.5 in this matchup.

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Pirates Home/Away Splits (2022)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	57.4	58.4	55.7
Implied Total AVG	33.8	35.5	31
ATS Record	8-5-0	5-3-0	3-2-0
Over/Under Record	7-6-0	4-4-0	3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	5-2	3-2	2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	2-3	1-1	1-2

East Carolina’s Offense vs. Appalachian State’s Defense (2023)

The Pirates average 4.3 yards per pass attempt (130th in the FBS) compared to the 5.8 per pass the Mountaineers give up (29th in college football).

East Carolina averages 127.5 yards through the air per game (126th in the FBS). Appalachian State ranks 72nd, giving up 219.5 passing yards.

Appalachian State allows 6.3 yards per rushing attempt (127th in the FBS). East Carolina is 89th in rushing, averaging 3.9 per carry.

Appalachian State vs. East Carolina Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for Appalachian State vs. East Carolina sees the Mountaineers (-305 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we prefer the over at 47.5 points.

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For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

written by

Matt Rooney

Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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