Tennessee vs. Florida Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – September 16, 2023

A pair of SEC teams square off when the No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (2-0) and the Florida Gators (1-1) play on Saturday, September 16, 2023 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. The Volunteers are favored by 5 points. The over/under is set at 56.5 in the outing.

Tennessee vs. Florida Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread Favorite: Volunteers (-5)
  • Moneyline: Volunteers (-205), Gators (+170)
  • Total: 56.5 points
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    How to Watch Tennessee vs. Florida

  • When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida
  • TV: ESPN
  • Volunteers 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 167 (334) 114
    Rush yards 161.5 (323) 65
    Points scored 39.5 (79) 39
    Pass yards against 236 (472) 88
    Rush yards against 183 (366) 113
    Points allowed 13 (26) 21

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    Tennessee 2023 Betting Info

  • The Volunteers have covered once in two matchups with a spread this season.
  • Tennessee has a 1-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 5 points or more this season.
  • Volunteers games have hit the over once this season.
  • The average point total in Volunteers games this season is four more points than the over/under of 56.5 in this matchup.
  • Volunteers Home/Away Splits (2022)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 64.7 64.9 64.3
    Implied Total AVG 41.3 44.9 37.2
    ATS Record 10-3-0 6-1-0 4-2-0
    Over/Under Record 7-6-0 6-1-0 1-5-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 8-1 5-0 3-1
    Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 1-0 1-1

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    Tennessee’s Offense vs. Florida’s Defense (2023)

  • The Volunteers have a 26.7% third-down conversion rate, 124th in the FBS. The Gators allow third-down conversions on 21.7% of their opponents’ attempts (seventh).
  • The Volunteers average 167 passing yards per game (114th in the FBS). They face the Gators’ defense which ranks sixth, allowing 115.5 yards per game through the air.
  • Tennessee averages 328.5 yards per game to rank 110th in the FBS. They take on a Florida defense ranked second, allowing 191 yards per game.
  • Gators 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 283 (566) 39
    Rush yards 170 (340) 58
    Points scored 30 (60) 74
    Pass yards against 115.5 (231) 6
    Rush yards against 75.5 (151) 22
    Points allowed 15.5 (31) 36

    Florida 2023 Betting Info

  • The Gators have no wins against the spread this year.
  • Tennessee is 1-1 against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.
  • The Gators have had one game (out of two) go over the total this year.
  • The average total in Volunteers games this year is four more points than the over/under of 56.5 in this game.
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    Gators Home/Away Splits (2022)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 56.8 56.7 56.8
    Implied Total AVG 34.2 34.4 34
    ATS Record 7-6-0 3-4-0 4-2-0
    Over/Under Record 7-6-0 3-4-0 4-2-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 4-3 4-2 0-1
    Moneyline Underdog Record 2-4 1-0 1-4

    Florida’s Offense vs. Tennessee’s Defense (2023)

  • Florida is 111th in the FBS in third-down percentage (31.6%), and will be facing the 38th-ranked Tennessee third-down defense (32.3%).
  • The Gators’ offense ranks 36th in the FBS in yards per game (453), while the Volunteers rank 107th in yards allowed (419).
  • Florida has the 58th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (170 yards per game), and will be facing the 113th-ranked defense in that category, as Tennessee allows 183 per game.
  • Tennessee vs. Florida Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for Tennessee vs. Florida sees the Volunteers (-205 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we recommend betting on the under at 56.5 points.

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    For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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