Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – September 28, 2023

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-2) will play a fellow CUSA opponent, the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-3) in a matchup on Thursday, September 28, 2023 at Houchens Industries–L.T. Smith Stadium. The Hilltoppers are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 6.5 points. The over/under in this outing is 61.5 points.

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread Favorite: Hilltoppers (-6.5)
  • Moneyline: Hilltoppers (-270), Blue Raiders (+220)
  • Total: 61.5 points
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    How to Watch Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee

  • When: Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Location: Houchens Industries–L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, Kentucky
  • TV: CBS Sports
  • Hilltoppers 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 283.3 (1133) 29
    Rush yards 84.3 (337) 125
    Points scored 31.8 (127) 57
    Pass yards against 271.5 (1086) 112
    Rush yards against 226.3 (905) 126
    Points allowed 34 (136) 116

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    Western Kentucky 2023 Betting Info

  • The Hilltoppers have covered twice in four games with a spread this season.
  • Western Kentucky has a 1-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
  • Hilltoppers games have hit the over twice this season.
  • The Hilltoppers’ average point total in outings this season is 64.8, 3.3 points higher than the total in this game.
  • Hilltoppers Home/Away Splits (2022)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 64.2 64 64.4
    Implied Total AVG 38 39.7 36.8
    ATS Record 9-5-0 3-3-0 6-2-0
    Over/Under Record 6-8-0 2-4-0 4-4-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 8-2 4-2 4-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-0 1-3

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    Western Kentucky’s Offense vs. Middle Tennessee’s Defense (2023)

  • The Blue Raiders’ defense allows 242.3 yards through the air per game (91st in the FBS). The Hilltoppers’ 283.3 passing yards per game is 29th in college football.
  • Western Kentucky has the 54th-ranked offense in the FBS, averaging 31.8 points per game. Middle Tennessee’s defense is 106th, allowing 31 points per contest.
  • Western Kentucky has the 125th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (84.3 yards per game). It faces Middle Tennessee’s 78th-ranked rushing defense, which gives up 139.3 on the ground.
  • Blue Raiders 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 229.3 (917) 80
    Rush yards 129.3 (517) 94
    Points scored 21 (84) 110
    Pass yards against 242.3 (969) 91
    Rush yards against 139.3 (557) 78
    Points allowed 31 (124) 106

    Middle Tennessee 2023 Betting Info

  • The Blue Raiders have won once against the spread this season.
  • Western Kentucky is 1-1 against the spread when favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
  • Two of the Blue Raiders’ four games in 2023 have gone over the point total.
  • The average total the Hilltoppers have had set in matchups this season is 3.3 more points than this outing’s point total.
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    Blue Raiders Home/Away Splits (2022)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 57.3 60.3 55.4
    Implied Total AVG 33.7 35 32.9
    ATS Record 6-6-1 2-2-1 4-4-0
    Over/Under Record 8-5-0 3-2-0 5-3-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-0 1-1
    Moneyline Underdog Record 5-4 1-2 4-2

    Middle Tennessee’s Offense vs. Western Kentucky’s Defense (2023)

  • Middle Tennessee is 57th in the FBS in third-down percentage (42.9%) and will be up against the 117th-ranked Western Kentucky defense in that category (47.5%).
  • The Blue Raiders rank 71st with 4.2 yards per carry, compared to the 5.2 per rush the Hilltoppers give up (119th in the FBS).
  • Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee is the Hilltoppers (-270 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we prefer the under at 61.5 points.

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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